Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f48e6165ed94dfc8d70e9c41bd9461b6cdcd8131695f1721cfe6eaa5599c262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 0c | 50,449$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Yes | 16c | 32,250$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,164.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +345.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 10c | 24,575$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.79 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f8…8bbcbacked No | 1c | 22,477$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed No | 45c | 9,234$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 10c | 9,010$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 28cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 19c | 7,565$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,144 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 24cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 51c | 7,076$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 79c | 7,043$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed No | 43c | 6,945$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Yes | 12c | 6,710$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 9c | 5,300$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…cfbdbacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 4,538$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 14c | 4,299$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…61c6backed Yes | 24c | 4,181$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…e63abacked No | 0c | 3,418$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…4747backed No | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 31c | 2,547$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked Yes | 64c | 2,291$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…e210backed Yes | 57c | 2,221$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…3ce8backed No | 1c | 2,195$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed Yes | 12c | 2,074$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +349.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…4e67backed Yes | 13c | 1,984$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +693.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 23c | 1,900$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.63 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 21c | 1,850$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…1042backed Yes | 79c | 1,768$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 1,713$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.09 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed Yes | 8c | 1,668$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…19f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,652$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…6702backed No | 67c | 1,548$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…de3bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,431$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 12c | 1,388$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…3607backed No | 1c | 1,375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,359$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked No | 69c | 1,342$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Yes | 76c | 1,329$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.73 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 8c | 1,243$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 58c | 1,188$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…6e4cbacked No | 1c | 1,168$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,165$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 60c | 1,121$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,119$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 67c | 1,102$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,083$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +464.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 12c | 1,073$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,011$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.69 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 54c | 1,000$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 57c | 959.37$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…df33backed Yes | 67c | 900.17$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…71efbacked Yes | 69c | 878.22$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…8cbebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 15cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…11a7backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4a…0170backed Yes | 12c | 824.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +724.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 67c | 810.51$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 61c | 800$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked No | 59c | 768.03$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 12c | 752.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes | 69c | 722.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 67c | 698.44$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes | 15c | 678.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…67b6backed Yes | 39c | 648.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be1…f250backed Yes | 8c | 594.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,221.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 19c | 591.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5972backed No | 17c | 584.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 572.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…a2cdbacked Yes | 13c | 523.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5976backed No | 13c | 500.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…7389backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 9c | 467.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.66 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7b…0870backed Yes | 11c | 464.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 59c | 452.89$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 33c | 440.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 43c | 439.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 9c | 407.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Yes | 12c | 403.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +179.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 47c | 390.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 37c | 389.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 384.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.77 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…235fbacked Yes | 55c | 380$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…fd27backed No | 36c | 379.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 20c | 368.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 25c | 362.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed No | 44c | 362.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 30c | 362.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…8df5backed Yes | 58c | 350$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf7…0426backed Yes | 22c | 341.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +114%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…78c1backed Yes | 70c | 326.62$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…b99cbacked Yes | 7c | 326.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked No | 77c | 323.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 9c | 317.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 8c | 316.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…e54fbacked Yes | 20c | 315.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3e…fc74backed No | 75c | 301.74$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 74c | 300.48$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed Yes | 13c | 299$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…fdf2backed No | 38c | 295.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 13c | 291.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.