TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,848,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,000,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,848,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 664 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f8…b80dbacked Yes17c131,164$22,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,866.64560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Yes9c57,566$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,158.45728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…2d1cbacked Yes10c54,771$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,173.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+539.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes14c40,984$5,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,209.744100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+214.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed Yes36c38,522$13,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,7341428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed No77c34,520$26,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,586.3360%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes42c24,855$10,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,440.221136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No76c21,126$16,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,002.524740.4%19 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+137.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed No41c19,149$7,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,846.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5462…358fbacked Yes8c18,515$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,014.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,134.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes27c17,520$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,751.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No45c17,360$7,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa65…1021backed Yes13c15,940$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,940.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+378.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes12c15,003$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,254.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes10c14,550$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,049.55450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+293.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No59c14,075$8,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,268.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed No71c13,365$9,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,474.021225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes16c13,288$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,163.752020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ce…db5cbacked Yes11c13,144$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,707.44540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+155.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes18c13,102$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,743.47922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced9…fca2backed Yes11c12,738$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,397.59825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Yes17c11,371$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,395.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+187.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…26b5backed Yes9c10,607$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+430.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No11c10,347$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.531618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-72.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981b…9163backed Yes23c10,200$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3066…bdfabacked Yes13c10,123$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,847.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+432.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No0c9,786$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes11c9,377$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,376.59580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick37cpaid+204.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes74c9,322$6,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.58825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-64.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes10c9,100$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,189.982330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+101.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes25c9,060$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,825.77988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+77.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2260…ad28backed Yes15c8,678$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,396.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+199.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Yes10c8,517$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,665.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick11cpaid+480.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb44f…8c20backed Yes13c8,082$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,995.96728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick7cpaid+130.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes36c7,500$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,784.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d80…c953backed Yes11c6,922$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,160.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+437.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde5…eda9backed Yes14c6,382$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+627.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be6…330fbacked Yes17c6,300$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.83475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+243%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf603…82f1backed Yes51c6,062$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.74520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f7…87e1backed Yes11c5,603$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,972.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+344.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9761…08f6backed Yes18c5,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+136.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Yes55c5,554$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b3…c6a3backed Yes20c5,399$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+149.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes36c5,264$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.59742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8797…bbbebacked Yes26c5,249$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,900.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick24cpaid+102.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc14d…cbdbbacked No77c5,165$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.87757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes9c5,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,550560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+210.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes54c4,966$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2335…4ebdbacked Yes63c4,594$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes9c4,350$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.461145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick19cpaid+167.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd6…292fbacked No0c4,345$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Yes47c4,304$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.81850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed No56c4,243$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes11c4,241$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.55540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+139.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Yes77c4,199$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes35c4,130$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.981127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x378b…caffbacked Yes27c4,080$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,998.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62e6…564ebacked Yes27c4,036$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+210.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8734…a7b2backed Yes15c3,909$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+589.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc795…6b62backed Yes27c3,810$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+83.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3fb…4a87backed No80c3,704$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8fd…aae9backed No55c3,607$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-77.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes11c3,507$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.041233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b5c…a5e8backed No77c3,500$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f69…69c5backed Yes16c3,435$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.75450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0d…09c2backed Yes47c3,400$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…3577backed No77c3,400$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,61810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc09…9024backed No71c3,350$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36260%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes9c3,333$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+325.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77a…e01cbacked No77c3,300$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x396f…7f78backed Yes24c3,222$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes46c3,186$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb366…c9cebacked Yes17c3,107$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+266%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes13c3,092$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.731520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…851ebacked No1c3,042$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No73c2,995$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,183944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed Yes20c2,991$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Yes66c2,979$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c2,968$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,717238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed No73c2,845$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.15540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes14c2,825$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.41020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df5…e7c2backed Yes13c2,582$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+286.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2721…325bbacked No42c2,530$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a60…9253backed Yes10c2,511$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+545.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7022…cfbdbacked No0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b49…1f54backed Yes71c2,404$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes7c2,401$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick16cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes65c2,347$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed No71c2,296$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfc0…ab69backed Yes13c2,287$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.52560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+152.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde3e…fc74backed Yes38c2,265$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No4c2,238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0509…6e98backed Yes17c2,193$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.224100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+180.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd2…bfd9backed Yes24c2,164$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.414100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+142.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1aa8…3395backed Yes10c2,151$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+413.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e6…9d9ebacked No80c2,138$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.681050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc22a…8418backed Yes14c2,129$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+387.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x278d…09a0backed Yes24c2,078$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+172.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked No1c2,054$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.