TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2260…ad28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eruption (BO1)backed Eruption · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+259.9%+$72.21
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$151.32
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+270.6%+$154.8
Counter-Strike: Oramond vs BIG (BO3)backed Oramond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Johnny Speeds (BO3)backed Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+112.8%+$159
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs SPARTA (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+114.3%+$160
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Oramond (BO3)backed Oramond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.5%+$69.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,537Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.3%+$726.2
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$87
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+200%+$99.99
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.2%+$409
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$147.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$100.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$428.77
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$88.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+222.6%+$103.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$63.6
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.79
Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+236.6%+$2,272.82
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$899.97
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$945
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$336.52
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$178.68
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$191.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+199.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$308
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$331
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$936
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.