Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e0454eede967adca0a4a1d66dc6249eda469645b2aed992d40eeec1da330a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $908,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $868,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 78c | 22,216$17,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.19 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 19c | 20,600$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,616.23 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 72c | 16,633$12,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,058.81 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked No | 45c | 15,723$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.94 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 23c | 14,386$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.42 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 13,868$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 62c | 12,329$7,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.78 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 28c | 10,015$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 9,848$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.46 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,020$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed No | 26c | 8,049$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,987.43 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd6…23f8backed Yes | 13c | 7,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 39c | 7,417$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.59 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,641$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 4,254$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed Yes | 21c | 3,929$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.28 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…27eebacked Yes | 1c | 3,674$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 50c | 3,009$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.84 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,570$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…698abacked Yes | 1c | 2,490$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…0320backed Yes | 6c | 2,457$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 9c | 2,076$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…797fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,038$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 5c | 1,865$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…5758backed Yes | 22c | 1,824$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 23c | 1,500$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 1,389$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed No | 71c | 1,314$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.97 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,280$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…7f8fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…830abacked No | 17c | 1,000$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.5 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…7b02backed Yes | 52c | 974.9$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.59 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…adadbacked Yes | 11c | 881.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…40b9backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 15c | 641.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 18c | 570.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 36c | 561.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked Yes | 9c | 542.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefa…83f9backed Yes | 8c | 489.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…d484backed Yes | 23c | 439.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Yes | 23c | 439.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…20cabacked Yes | 5c | 423.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…7922backed Yes | 8c | 416.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 18c | 410$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d79…f2d0backed Yes | 9c | 289.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…a599backed Yes | 9c | 271.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…4d1fbacked Yes | 9c | 271.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 5c | 261.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…661fbacked Yes | 21c | 235$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b53…708bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 181.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.02 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 33c | 179.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked Yes | 22c | 157.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Yes | 22c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa835…b8dbbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +66%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 31c | 139.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1614backed Yes | 27c | 129.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…dd56backed No | 74c | 123.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2381backed Yes | 22c | 112.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked No | 79c | 102.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…0ed1backed Yes | 19c | 102.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3d…d571backed No | 16c | 96.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…ff2ebacked Yes | 11c | 96.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…3430backed Yes | 13c | 95.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1176…f6d0backed No | 55c | 90.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6736…cd51backed Yes | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…2487backed Yes | 50c | 79.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…9ff2backed No | 74c | 77.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c8…c796backed Yes | 25c | 75.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed No | 28c | 72.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3c6ebacked Yes | 21c | 71.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…9414backed No | 52c | 61.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…ea99backed No | 52c | 61.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…13ebbacked No | 20c | 59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +402.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…4e56backed No | 19c | 59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +437.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…42b4backed Yes | 50c | 41.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcc…1d02backed No | 73c | 41.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…b368backed No | 54c | 40.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…72f0backed Yes | 32c | 36.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…cfe0backed Yes | 49c | 36.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…4ed2backed Yes | 63c | 31.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…f4b1backed No | 76c | 31.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…b392backed Yes | 35c | 31.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…8e7fbacked Yes | 37c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5c…7a2dbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3953…2b73backed Yes | 79c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…7267backed Yes | 77c | 22.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…8d2abacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ad28backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…26d9backed No | 74c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…23d3backed No | 65c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…2f2cbacked No | 70c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.00 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.20 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.40 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.50 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.60 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.70 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP dip to $2.80 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.30 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.50 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.80 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?No won
- Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.