TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e76…95cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$8.77
Clippers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$44.46
Kings vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$23.56
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.34
Spread: Knicks (-22.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
Wizards vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$11.15
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.04
76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$13.44
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.93
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58%+$23.09
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.18
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.11
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$55.9
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.98
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.36
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100.6%+$66.07
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.87
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+166.4%+$81.7
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$56.24
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$86.22
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.4
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$28.53
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$13.3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$6.55
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.95
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.02
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.65
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.44
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.11
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.55
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.69
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.19
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.14
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$26.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.06
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+65%+$9.21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+238.7%+$44.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+213.1%+$117.52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+369.3%+$57.14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$23.84
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.64
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.18
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.72
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+106.4%+$20.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$20.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.15
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$26.17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.07
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$36.33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36.34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.86
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$58.27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$53.68
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59.22
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$17.33
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.11
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$13.64
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$81.48
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.85
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$6.07
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.66
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.19
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.03
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.31
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+72.1%+$72.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+169.4%+$35.81
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.08
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$17.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series New Zealand vs South Africa Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 23 above $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.