Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e56ca802af2e8353cfcd1adb36b61b960cfb8b7d9f38145da1ffc3f447f4e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,450 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 60c | 40,166$23,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,215.69 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 31,924$14,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,378.8 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION | 46c | 19,175$8,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,766.56 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked PARIVISION | 31c | 15,060$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 59c | 11,105$6,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.65 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Yandex | 57c | 9,039$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.01 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 8,292$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.02 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 8,007$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.86 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed PARIVISION | 27c | 7,510$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 45c | 7,267$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.28 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 54c | 6,436$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.96 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 6,164$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.89 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 6,001$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.55 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 5,363$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 3,679$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.86 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…3f60backed Team Yandex | 53c | 3,425$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PARIVISION | 40c | 3,324$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.01 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION | 51c | 3,239$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.2 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…766dbacked PARIVISION | 29c | 2,095$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,965$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.94 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,950$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 1,904$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.7 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 53c | 1,894$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.41 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,632$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,568$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.57 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed PARIVISION | 31c | 1,346$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 10c | 1,157$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.65 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 46c | 1,000$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed PARIVISION | 43c | 966.02$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…a2aabacked PARIVISION | 53c | 907.29$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 900$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked PARIVISION | 16c | 867.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 35c | 835.09$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 16c | 828.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 22c | 803.6$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.2 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Team Yandex | 52c | 753.82$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Yandex | 72c | 743.74$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Team Yandex | 49c | 709.67$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 57c | 703.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION | 49c | 697.18$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.62 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Team Yandex | 51c | 694.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 684.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 665.21$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 45c | 664.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 660.04$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex | 73c | 651.49$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION | 7c | 637.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 624.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.06 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 597.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Yandex | 52c | 584$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 51c | 571.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.94 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed PARIVISION | 44c | 570.8$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 565.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 559.42$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.77 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex | 56c | 558.93$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Yandex | 55c | 548.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 62c | 544$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 538.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 534.93$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked PARIVISION | 16c | 531.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked PARIVISION | 31c | 509.84$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 19c | 507.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Team Yandex | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION | 46c | 499.23$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 6c | 491.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Yandex | 54c | 489.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…9878backed PARIVISION | 43c | 468.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Yandex | 55c | 457.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 455.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex | 70c | 409.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Yandex | 50c | 400$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 381.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Yandex | 45c | 360$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Yandex | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked PARIVISION | 15c | 352.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked PARIVISION | 43c | 340.28$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked PARIVISION | 45c | 337.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.84 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex | 60c | 331.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed PARIVISION | 46c | 330.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Yandex | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 28c | 302$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed PARIVISION | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed PARIVISION | 37c | 299.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Yandex | 70c | 292.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 287.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 272$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PARIVISION | 29c | 240.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Team Yandex | 75c | 235.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed PARIVISION | 45c | 223.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked PARIVISION | 27c | 221.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 216.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 39cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.