TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62c7…d64f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT7225%18 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.17
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+749.4%+$162.86
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.26
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$43.49
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.85
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.8
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+60%+$120.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$151
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.05
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.78
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$21.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.81
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.85
UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Austen Lane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$37.67
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.6%+$33.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+72.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$78.92
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+77.8%+$233.51
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$114.55
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+203%+$36.84
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$51.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.