Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb083dd50474c6b5dfa8fc4a3178eedd58a6dc756a636a7ef2bd32366818c37bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof paiN Gaming, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,910 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN Gaming | 67c | 6,412$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.85 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 6,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.87 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 5,550$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked paiN Gaming | 67c | 4,383$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.16 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 4,216$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 3,652$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.8 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked paiN Gaming | 69c | 3,281$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.07 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked paiN Gaming | 52c | 2,702$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.87 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 2,340$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,332$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.36 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked paiN Gaming | 78c | 1,680$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.14 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 73c | 1,669$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.36 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 1,666$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,100$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed paiN Gaming | 79c | 1,076$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 1,070$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 1,042$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,040$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 1,027$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed paiN Gaming | 71c | 995.56$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.22 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 953.9$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.93 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 778.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 716.13$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 77c | 704.43$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 689.07$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 640.93$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 519.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 499$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.67 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 493.64$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 452.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 425.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 372.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.37 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 306.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 284.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked paiN Gaming | 73c | 243.01$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 221.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 220.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed paiN Gaming | 60c | 220.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 220$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 213.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked paiN Gaming | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed paiN Gaming | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 158.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 151.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 148.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked paiN Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 113.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…90a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 108.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 106.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 98.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 96.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 91.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked paiN Gaming | 25c | 70.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 69.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 69.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 64.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 61.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed paiN Gaming | 33c | 60.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 60.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked paiN Gaming | 58c | 58.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 53.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 51.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 48.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…7736backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 46.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked paiN Gaming | 65c | 44.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 41.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked paiN Gaming | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…b958backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…19bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…ad9cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed paiN Gaming | 71c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 27.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 20.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.