Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95b059b24354b80da8e3327ac3b1d50367c28b5f3d7e7348d2ec46d6738e4906
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof paiN Gaming, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,981 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Gaming | 45c | 14,860$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 9,435$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.01 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming | 48c | 5,345$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.22 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 5,109$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.67 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…4dd1backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 4,901$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.68 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 4,467$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.02 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,836$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked paiN Gaming | 41c | 3,756$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.69 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 3,101$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.35 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,076$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN Gaming | 37c | 2,870$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.95 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 1,479$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.86 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 1,228$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.77 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 1,144$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.63 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked paiN Gaming | 50c | 944.16$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.67 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 820$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked paiN Gaming | 57c | 817.89$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked paiN Gaming | 50c | 801.34$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 750.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 748.26$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.72 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 727.45$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed paiN Gaming | 43c | 587.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 574.11$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.95 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 524.35$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed paiN Gaming | 40c | 503.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked paiN Gaming | 33c | 493.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.6 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 490.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 462.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 421.13$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 374$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 372$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 360.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed paiN Gaming | 49c | 357.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked paiN Gaming | 18c | 353$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 344.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 330$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 297.77$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 295$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 281.58$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked paiN Gaming | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 223.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 210$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked paiN Gaming | 74c | 207.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.86 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN Gaming | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked paiN Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed paiN Gaming | 72c | 187.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN Gaming | 57c | 184$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked paiN Gaming | 33c | 170$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed paiN Gaming | 61c | 163.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 155.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed paiN Gaming | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed paiN Gaming | 73c | 149.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 147.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 142.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 130.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…748ebacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 127.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9f…7da9backed paiN Gaming | 48c | 124.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…f000backed paiN Gaming | 45c | 122.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…201abacked paiN Gaming | 41c | 122.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 117.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked paiN Gaming | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 105.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…8181backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 84.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 83.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked paiN Gaming | 42c | 82.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 81.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 68.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 68.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…26b9backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 64.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 62.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 56.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 53.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked paiN Gaming | 44c | 50.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 50.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…cbc0backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…0a99backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 47.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.