TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe791…cbc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+81.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: RED.A (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5)backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$225.69
LoL: Team Solid vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.46
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+110%+$99
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+211%+$185.71
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$122.37
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$183.33
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+223.5%+$89.41
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+260.6%+$390.97
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+124.4%+$58.06
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$343.56
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$72.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.