TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,182 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ab…4523backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c4,817$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.615,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes55c3,020$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.767441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,542$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.288,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes50c1,476$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.2649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes53c1,433$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.2330841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9915945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No47c1,002$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.042157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4959651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes17c858.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.323225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No46c749.89$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No54c628.82$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8210155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Yes53c621.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes53c597.49$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4881651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29013134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes42c487.06$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c451.03$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.072,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c375$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.751,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No50c318$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1594468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No44c314.55$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.153751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c265.19$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.512,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c249.96$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.391,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No53c243.31$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.941,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c240.29$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.091,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes47c228.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.464456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5077151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe791…cbc0backed Yes37c202.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa6…ef88backed Yes54c188.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No43c178.38$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.61,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes18c173.6$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes32c165$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.055442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No71c151$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.798763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3689…e964backed Yes57c142.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.111334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c108.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.153,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes21c108.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2528231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c108.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9937851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes30c108$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.463138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No46c103.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.959361.3%57 W · 36 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes57c103$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.714454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes20c101.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9971619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes20c100.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaaf…25e2backed Yes37c95.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes18c94.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.464353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c92.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No47c91.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6610846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes17c81.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.854461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes56c75.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.223,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c75.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.621,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No55c72.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes55c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.032,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No56c63.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2849535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No46c62.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.510157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Yes54c61.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes58c60.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4213…6940backed No44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes25c56.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No43c56.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Yes58c53.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed No48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes50c51.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.752642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked No57c51.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.942564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb0…eea0backed Yes53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6f…e57cbacked Yes58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No43c48.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes28c48.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.645052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No63c48.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.947756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Yes56c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes46c38.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.861735.3%6 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-37.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No49c38.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682560%15 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No46c36.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes49c34.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.848248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked No47c31.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.942560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc69…a534backed No61c28.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No47c26.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.177133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156927.5%19 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2928…cadabacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Yes43c24.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394a…8845backed Yes52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…671fbacked Yes52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x287d…4867backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes53c19.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5617143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed No61c19.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No59c18.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.