TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc33a…671f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.64
Credit One Charleston Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.79
Credit One Charleston Open: Alycia Parks vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.81
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.59
Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Bradybacked Jennifer Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Credit One Charleston Open: Solana Sierra vs Akasha Urhobobacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Credit One Charleston Open: Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazuabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.84
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.33
Credit One Charleston Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Lulu Sunbacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.88
Credit One Charleston Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$8.93
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.25
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Vejle BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.75
Will Viborg FF vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+41%+$4.37
Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.36
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.04
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick57cpaid-58%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.3
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$7.45
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.31
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$11.54
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kingsbacked Lahore Qalandars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Islamabad Unitedbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$95.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.