TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,670 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes61c34,280$20,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,436.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No39c22,704$8,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,854.567750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No38c8,050$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.7617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No8c3,270$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No18c3,131$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.171,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes62c2,023$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes77c1,750$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.354,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No10c1,249$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.679732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No40c1,223$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes61c1,019$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.717053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked No40c1,014$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No40c952$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c878.53$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.752,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No39c616$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.246150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No38c594.5$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.488146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed No40c476.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Yes61c368.24$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.383764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No40c354.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes62c320.97$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9711146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes61c316.08$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.931,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c265$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.351,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed No39c256.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed No40c234.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.741553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No37c233.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No40c227.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked No39c217$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Yes63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7420763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked No40c197.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed No40c193.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes58c184.82$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked No40c171.78$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes62c171.04$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No39c161$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.793865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c50…7f4bbacked No40c156.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes65c154.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1713256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c146.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.22,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked No40c138.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.452556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked No40c132.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No21c123.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.721,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked No40c111.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed No39c111$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No39c102.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No37c99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6325348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed No40c93.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes67c92.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No39c89.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bc…fc0dbacked No40c86.65$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed No40c86.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.656944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x311f…2aebbacked No39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9697…8024backed No40c75.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed No40c74.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42bf…3fc1backed No40c71.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7981…dd95backed No40c69.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked No39c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f2…a659backed No40c67.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes64c67.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.194158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.451,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes58c61.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.885232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.689152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes61c58.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes60c57.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9969851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes60c57.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9910747.7%51 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No39c51.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2723556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No36c51.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.533124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No37c49.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4922448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No34c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40fa…95dfbacked Yes62c47.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No39c47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1315…cb3fbacked No40c44.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e45…4815backed No40c44.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No39c42.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6230057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9911842.4%50 W · 68 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.329858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Yes77c38.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.064845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed No39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed No39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed No41c36.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9427051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes61c29.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5111048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes62c28.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.664156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Yes75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No39c27.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes63c27.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…0801backed Yes61c26.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da7…7eb4backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3adb…bcc6backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7670…ea85backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc440…922ebacked No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8815…5d8bbacked No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.