South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1260fb31b1eda75b5297431fd4e3f2e90028b06a80e1fadc86a86e68283618e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeba5…56dfbacked Yes | 21c | 4,536$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,798$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.62 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,793$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 554.5$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 65c | 527.15$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 9c | 525.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 511.7$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 19c | 500.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Yes | 13c | 428.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 23c | 312.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 228.23$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 164.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 65c | 151.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 148.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 100.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 79c | 96.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 76.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 76.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed No | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed No | 65c | 75.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 62.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 76c | 62.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 62.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed No | 65c | 60.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 31c | 54.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 53.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 51.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes | 22c | 50.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 40c | 47.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 77c | 40.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 36.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 35.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 76c | 34.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…671fbacked Yes | 34c | 32.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 77c | 27.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 19.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-04-13?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.