TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb52b…b156backed No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.932045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes63c9,035$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.131,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes57c5,591$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No39c2,952$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No40c1,766$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.364052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c1,746$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.752,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c1,704$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.268,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No5c1,546$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.318444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No21c1,442$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes63c1,252$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.47745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes71c1,183$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.431,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c1,120$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.085,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes65c1,069$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1716262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed No5c1,022$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-79.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No36c923.17$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.344153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No41c853.51$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.1636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes65c850.89$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes64c781.26$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.934456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes64c764.38$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.186944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes63c757.39$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1311245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No37c620.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.763834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes80c617.5$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.54637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No40c614.29$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3128158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No25c605.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8414443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c584.79$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.541,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes62c581.29$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c567.62$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.811,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes63c517.6$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.682,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed No29c500.64$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.811520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes63c465.62$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2813257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes63c458.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.823844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No34c382.63$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.827133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed No40c361.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c340.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.651,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes59c317.8$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.35345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes64c282.97$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.231,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c280.69$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.53,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes76c274.32$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.036866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c264.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.461,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed No17c249.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.674415.9%7 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes76c247.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes66c214.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0310750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes78c214.29$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.351,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No42c214.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4317857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Yes64c185.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.895162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No36c180$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes76c174$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c172.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.112,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes62c167.93$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8137851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3b…b37fbacked Yes61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Yes64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.048267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No44c150.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8219955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes64c136.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.162462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x622e…1a89backed Yes64c129.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.74461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.72774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No42c117.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4718859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No42c117.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.472466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9943…a363backed Yes63c108.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No36c102.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8920022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.595949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c91.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No44c89.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.153461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed No37c88.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No37c86.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.062642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No36c82.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.859454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No36c82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5211448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes67c81.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No41c80.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.718149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes63c77.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7113351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed No40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.92540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes64c68.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.775867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes62c68.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9911059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No44c67.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed No37c65.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed No37c64.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes64c64.7$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes79c64.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes64c63.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.724566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes80c62.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd865…4778backed Yes63c59.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No33c57.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7513451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes64c56.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3620142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1615654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes64c53.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a00…a194backed Yes64c51.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Yes80c50.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No37c43.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.094757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf020…cddbbacked No38c41.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x658e…f149backed Yes64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes69c37.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.333444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes73c36.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8316255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c35.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No35c33.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.773737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes65c33.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.664676.1%35 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4db9…9832backed Yes64c32.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…5be2backed No37c32.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.