South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a50ad6fc6c0031622a3f8089b7cea52a154e3c1cfa95d5e59514caea0b4771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,530$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,637$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 31c | 959.64$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…d2f1backed No | 51c | 800.01$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 71c | 549.94$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 51c | 530.38$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 32c | 465.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.66 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 404.3$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 32c | 264.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 70c | 201.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 51c | 200.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…a64fbacked Yes | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 41c | 164.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 128.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 113.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…ec0ebacked Yes | 68c | 111.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked No | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…55b0backed Yes | 67c | 99.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…5d8cbacked Yes | 68c | 67.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…bcfcbacked Yes | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…b453backed Yes | 71c | 37.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed No | 32c | 32.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…f53abacked No | 80c | 24.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 70c | 16.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…e037backed Yes | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…671fbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
- Will CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.