Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e14804780d32681a4a58e5aa893188bc6c71176fc22c04c557216ba8ac766ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4084…357abacked Yes | 16c | 11,130$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 16c | 9,309$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 16c | 3,424$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Yes | 12c | 2,902$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 11c | 2,687$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 17c | 2,600$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 15c | 2,099$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 14c | 1,750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 1,682$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,567$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 15c | 1,431$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 1,403$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…7044backed Yes | 15c | 1,093$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,060$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 6c | 999.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 951.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 11c | 823.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Yes | 15c | 766.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 561.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 17c | 544.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 22c | 455.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 11c | 427.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…6c49backed Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 15c | 312$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…22a6backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 10c | 251.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 250.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 16c | 180.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 15c | 164.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 15c | 158.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 15c | 148.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 142.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 15c | 140.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…bbb5backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…671fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…ac99backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 90.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 15c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 17c | 63.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.