Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62e2d89a95d24c0adedf21339d962299c08381f856dc6bf3b22193aabbfe393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 8c | 28,971$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.68 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 20,543$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.4 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…69c5backed Yes | 8c | 13,904$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 8c | 13,840$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 7c | 13,415$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 11,988$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.05 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Yes | 8c | 11,375$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 8c | 10,900$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 9,430$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.76 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9326…d416backed Yes | 8c | 6,420$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 6,300$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 8c | 6,048$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Yes | 8c | 4,625$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…7a6bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,550$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,982$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,333$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 8c | 2,485$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,453$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 7c | 2,099$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 8c | 1,796$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 8c | 1,796$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 9c | 1,710$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 9c | 1,666$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,555$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 8c | 1,257$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 8c | 1,203$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 2c | 1,128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,025$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 8c | 990.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 8c | 910.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 2c | 809.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…c197backed Yes | 8c | 768.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 8c | 715.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…9182backed Yes | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6662…a238backed Yes | 9c | 633.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 629.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…5b62backed Yes | 8c | 526.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…e972backed Yes | 8c | 435.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…1f04backed Yes | 8c | 435.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…2c9dbacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 8c | 390$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 8c | 346.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 9c | 323.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…22a6backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 6c | 225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…3e4abacked Yes | 8c | 202$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…d933backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 8c | 158$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 149.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 8c | 146.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 8c | 133.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…51fabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…f5f3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.