TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,357,529
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,515,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,357,529 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,027 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b1…f076backed Yes76c692,257$526,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166,141.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes77c222,446$172,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,303.3324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No24c171,486$41,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,291.642236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No24c159,112$38,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,186.873351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No25c156,743$38,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,471.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No24c92,167$22,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,1202317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes76c76,786$58,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,446.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No24c70,020$16,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,804.82045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes76c70,000$53,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No22c62,709$13,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,880.371250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No24c48,122$11,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,549.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No23c46,590$10,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,907.063450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No24c44,470$10,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,672.82536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No24c44,000$10,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,559.991838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No23c43,000$9,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,784.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-79.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes76c40,000$30,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6003756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No23c39,999$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.882842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes76c39,474$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,473.6816644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No23c38,260$8,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,941.4452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes76c37,533$28,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,863.1875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked No24c34,060$8,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,174.38520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No23c33,277$7,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,653.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No24c33,003$7,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,909.716443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No25c30,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes77c27,890$21,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,414.676942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No24c27,358$6,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,566250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No22c26,758$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.82920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes77c25,751$19,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,972.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-78.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes76c24,908$18,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,977.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes75c22,834$17,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.2162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No22c22,656$4,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.321241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No24c22,000$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,259.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes77c20,939$16,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,721.74438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No24c20,711$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No22c20,685$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,618.14252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes76c20,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes77c19,397$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.271566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No22c19,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2401136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No23c18,645$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.954447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca4b…521ebacked No25c18,175$4,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,476.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49f…b0f0backed No25c17,666$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c15,989$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No24c15,710$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No24c15,222$3,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.41225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No23c15,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.972128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No24c14,043$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.595040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes77c13,682$10,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.0124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No26c13,500$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5102835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No22c12,671$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.511650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No17c12,175$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.1648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No23c12,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.9914346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes77c11,578$8,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.03771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No19c10,795$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.9224349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes77c10,780$8,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No24c10,723$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.688254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes76c10,665$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-56.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed No24c10,560$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.4450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No23c10,296$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf945…7eb1backed No22c10,070$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes75c9,995$7,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.8513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes75c9,813$7,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c8,410$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.991,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yes78c8,397$6,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No23c8,396$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9206553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No23c8,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes76c7,895$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.74650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No23c7,826$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No23c7,800$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.9860%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No24c7,088$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7505538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No23c6,890$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes75c6,887$5,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.873354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No24c6,803$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.181838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x701d…57f9backed Yes78c6,530$5,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes76c6,510$4,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes76c6,500$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.26650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes76c6,042$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes76c5,629$4,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.02742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No23c5,528$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.371136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No24c5,494$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No22c5,479$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.87837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No23c5,200$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.6121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No23c5,110$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.28425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes79c4,965$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.371154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No23c4,820$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.42015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes77c4,683$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb714…eb1bbacked Yes76c4,500$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…4503backed No23c4,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No26c4,089$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.051216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9204057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No23c3,991$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes78c3,847$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.342676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No23c3,600$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.6530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No23c3,366$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.9138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.