TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,167,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,488,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,167,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes79c2,780,135$2,196,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583,828.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e35…1fe1backed Yes78c2,731,892$2,126,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605,066.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No21c2,000,000$425,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425,555.6210443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No21c900,000$193,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,999.986844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No22c319,500$69,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,6554346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdd…a747backed Yes79c252,911$199,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,111.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…f9a2backed No23c200,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,000540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed No22c197,527$43,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,455.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No22c160,337$35,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,062.2159741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No24c159,264$38,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,438.4629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No21c152,370$31,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,997.71338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No21c148,368$31,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,157.283151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No22c132,661$28,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,885.8226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No21c130,000$27,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,3002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05f6…8cecbacked Yes79c126,666$100,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,599.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes77c120,000$92,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,599.984654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No19c119,941$23,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,225.2958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No1c115,218$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.254924.5%12 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+157.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No22c115,091$25,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,3201838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No22c105,852$23,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,291.0216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No21c103,000$21,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,6307346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c100,553$21,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,911.011,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed Yes79c98,507$77,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,686.453548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes78c96,540$75,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,278.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No21c90,000$18,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,9006344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No22c80,000$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,6002360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No22c67,500$14,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,57528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c64,108$13,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,811.871,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No21c63,032$13,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,525.946541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed No24c60,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,399.911735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed Yes77c57,000$43,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,109.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Yes77c50,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,499.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No21c49,506$10,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,396.2510040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes77c46,087$35,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,600.013751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed No22c45,909$10,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,100.0450%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No21c41,900$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,7991833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No22c38,144$8,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No21c34,420$7,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,229.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes76c31,589$23,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,709.1363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No22c31,390$6,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,909.0610845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No21c29,201$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.212744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No0c28,934$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.675145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked No22c28,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1601241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No21c27,668$5,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,887.043141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No24c27,616$6,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,610.2429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes77c25,822$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,822.271060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No22c25,400$5,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5881741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No17c25,400$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.583737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No22c25,213$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.362050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No22c23,272$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.891643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d7…0501backed No21c20,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No22c19,968$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,392.963743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No22c19,075$4,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,196.55433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No21c18,840$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.810850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No21c18,612$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.423839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No22c16,883$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,714.33447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Yes78c16,500$12,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6301643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No23c16,085$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.328938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes76c15,800$12,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,791.938040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes79c15,661$12,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.888751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes73c15,614$11,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,215.882040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No22c15,329$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,372.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed No22c15,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No27c14,600$3,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9421637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No3c13,593$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.665628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6431…ab69backed Yes75c12,500$9,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No21c11,906$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked No23c11,082$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6567…c807backed No23c10,952$2,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,510633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes79c10,849$8,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.842152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No21c10,289$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.694323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No22c10,280$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.033452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc862…e047backed Yes78c10,060$7,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No22c10,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1706643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2003871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked No21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed No23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3008740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed Yes76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a37…f839backed No0c9,998$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9950%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No22c9,984$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.488231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes76c9,035$6,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.351250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No21c9,023$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.83714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No24c9,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No21c8,888$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-79.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No24c8,721$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.4112352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No21c8,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7852119%4 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No23c8,388$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.276952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No14c8,306$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.671338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No23c8,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8802030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No22c7,548$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6721145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No22c7,296$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.122231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No22c7,040$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes77c7,000$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Yes77c6,568$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No22c6,500$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43060%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No21c6,313$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.731643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes78c6,259$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.971861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No22c6,177$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No23c6,030$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.