TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No50c121,997$60,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,310.8129446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c36,147$18,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,196.923,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes50c30,555$15,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,277.519846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes50c13,066$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,479.911540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes50c8,703$4,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,351.4217049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes50c8,596$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2985050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes50c6,948$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.835543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes24c5,000$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.931618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes50c3,876$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.067244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes41c3,665$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.857552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c3,661$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.852,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c2,781$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes52c2,345$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.2551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c2,202$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.18,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes30c1,846$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.083928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes41c1,668$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.031,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes50c1,468$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.8142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes22c1,446$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.478831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes51c1,077$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4622853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Yes3c1,028$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.862657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes51c950.03$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.771,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes51c765.51$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.5820846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes50c626.04$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes51c512.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.42,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c481.75$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.011,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6527549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes22c433.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3215326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c392.7$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes51c375.35$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7716534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes18c371.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.843727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes35c370.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7410039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes50c348.13$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.073151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No76c337$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No76c336.43$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes50c320.57$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.951,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes50c259.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c239.5$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.061,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c238.95$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.461,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes50c211.43$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.616653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f3…18d6backed Yes50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes51c190.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes23c169.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.497839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed No53c166.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes51c166.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8533266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No47c156.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0521345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes51c148.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.292,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No67c143.68$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.634468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c138.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes31c136.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes50c132.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.23953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes30c131.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.971225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c129.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.691,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes53c129.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.544753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c124.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes39c123.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.632931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes45c122.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.423,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes33c122$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No19c114.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4813451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No64c109.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes22c108.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No72c108.24$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No75c100.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3118859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes49c98.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.464738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5251654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.58149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a3…8278backed Yes50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No51c96.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.310155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes51c95.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5244959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0418140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No71c91.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.215956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c91.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.622556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Yes22c88.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes51c77.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.17857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes50c76.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5516160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Yes51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.832245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes23c70.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2213023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes18c67.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9211230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes51c66.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7118154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No80c66.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.619356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes52c65.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.952045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes50c64.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.184465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes51c64.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6247758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes50c63.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.997867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes50c60.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0734155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes41c58.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.121752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…2c8ebacked Yes50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes50c57.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes54c57.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1220142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes44c56.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1513739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No71c55.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.191,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes53c54.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9816453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.172462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.