TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under29c48,844$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,544.524,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c14,381$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.43,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over75c10,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5006051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under26c9,126$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,743.862,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over80c7,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over73c6,348$4,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6081457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under28c5,880$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233.365964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over74c4,173$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.3450249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over75c3,564$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6705367.9%36 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over73c2,646$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.6113263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under26c2,479$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.21010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c2,422$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.0469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over73c1,756$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.823033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over60c1,700$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.942623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over68c1,470$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under41c1,200$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under49c1,138$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over69c1,019$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.784250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under33c1,005$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.8417455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Under68c1,004$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under25c900$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over56c889.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over72c865.55$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6243764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over73c827.52$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under23c799.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.982552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over68c753.15$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6419544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Under27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.741533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over59c699.51$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.712548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under3c695.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.649736.1%35 W · 62 L+14.3wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+150%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c677.03$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9216149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under25c673.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over72c672$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.129640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over75c667.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over75c663.2$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99f…43c5backed Over76c657.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under25c654.33$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.7550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8529…b973backed Over77c649.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x789e…cf5ebacked Under63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…5f59backed Over73c630.39$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over20c624.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under59c604.5$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.763762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over71c570.1$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.181,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9a…8990backed Over76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over60c502.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.722934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3253435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…1c79backed Over73c484.77$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over64c476$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.84966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over72c455.54$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.999549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Over67c450$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over76c425$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4e…2917backed Over74c424.6$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Under35c422.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over73c420$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.62560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over72c416.65$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over79c400.44$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2411066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over50c375.86$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18822729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over64c365.79$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over64c360$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked Over77c359.95$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.362665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under76c353.64$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.872958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over71c353.52$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbe9…66a9backed Over75c351.17$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under27c348.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9711354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c345.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.281,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over71c336$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5626550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c329.52$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.717044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked Over72c318.28$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.161560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c314$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.383040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c306$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under65c300$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.45942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x368c…9f72backed Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over75c296$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22238748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over75c266$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.53964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over60c256$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over75c250$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.54580%36 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under30c245.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9741147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under30c241.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6324344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over65c236.79$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.911250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under28c236.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.092259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over72c236.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under27c235.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.278155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under26c235.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over57c215.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12317458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c210$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.981,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb20d…adf9backed Over73c205.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under25c199.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.983470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.