La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711a12caed0cca8f25da70ca32ed170c909f5a5c8d62951faf0c777e258c6a0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 11c | 12,468$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.18 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 10c | 3,163$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…4844backed Over | 14c | 2,992$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 12c | 1,646$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 4c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 10c | 1,311$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 13c | 1,249$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 13c | 721.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 14c | 554.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 10c | 529.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 466.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 13c | 328.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 14c | 296.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…1885backed Over | 12c | 270$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…103ebacked Over | 13c | 198.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…d490backed Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Over | 14c | 134.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Over | 13c | 123.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.