TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c16,526$12,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,814.684,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under74c12,032$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.833,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over26c9,690$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.482524%6 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over26c5,076$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.533043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over25c3,946$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Over26c3,728$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.94461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over22c2,294$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.471,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over23c2,173$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under74c2,054$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.891,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over24c1,920$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.359330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over15c1,700$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.962623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under74c1,449$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.8550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Under80c1,209$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.181457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over25c1,017$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.134250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Under74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over24c999.97$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under76c986.84$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.842665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Under75c598.67$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.662245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over20c556$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.213824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Under76c500.39$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13042851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over32c412.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10412954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10b…9975backed Over28c375.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under77c357.35$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.857339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over28c343.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under72c299.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under79c278.85$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.648155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd5…9e49backed Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over22c229.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7314259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over25c218.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.862259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under76c215.03$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8411354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c205.26$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2623152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over32c204.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under77c203.88$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2314342%60 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under72c199.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over22c193.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0213457.5%77 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over28c177.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over29c139$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.313839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over11c127.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-86.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c114.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3238748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Under76c106.24$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f2…b21cbacked Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…e673backed Over24c90.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over27c84.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6412042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1932145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under76c80.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.064045%18 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under80c75.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1119461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde42…e01bbacked Over25c74.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under73c74.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Over28c68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0414233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over28c63.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.89571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under79c55.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9241147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over24c55.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…16f1backed Over28c54.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514852.7%78 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under72c51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2823250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146544.6%29 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over27c49.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2424546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Over25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Under74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under77c38.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.791643.8%7 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Under79c36.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.533246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under78c34.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4927850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under72c33.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3827653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under76c30.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.365152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under75c29.39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2520245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc94…e238backed Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976c…d090backed Under74c26.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Under76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa25d…7353backed Under76c26.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.143060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…23e2backed Under73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked Under76c24.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Under73c21.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under76c15.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.723464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9437…e75fbacked Under75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.51580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…ed18backed Under76c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.