TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$689,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$697,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under51c149,999$76,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,717.956048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over47c75,000$35,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,232.782152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c58,437$30,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,469.464,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over48c52,388$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over53c45,971$24,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,364.633847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Over49c40,816$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under54c37,219$19,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,247.39748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Under51c30,644$15,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,015.632969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under52c27,848$14,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,424.125964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under53c21,500$11,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,105.012157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7e…6861backed Over49c16,576$8,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,122.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c15,071$7,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,083.3720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5d…d89ebacked Over49c15,005$7,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,352.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over49c11,946$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.542133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c11,441$5,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,909.6169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9913…21cfbacked Over50c10,831$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,415520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over47c10,065$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7009743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b43…fb06backed Under51c9,897$5,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,849.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c9,354$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,489.851450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c9,286$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,429.9650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…ebf1backed Over47c9,200$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3bb…8b3ebacked Over49c9,086$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Under54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c8,960$4,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,390.2464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under51c8,888$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab56…74c3backed Over49c8,872$4,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,347.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e4…5017backed Under51c8,862$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed Over49c8,239$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…d596backed Under51c7,888$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c6,786$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,259.962,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over49c6,620$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2441136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c6,531$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Under53c6,084$3,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.242035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over49c6,022$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.569640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b20…2106backed Under51c5,956$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under54c5,731$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.263138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Over49c4,566$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under50c4,532$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.9713046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over38c4,255$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over49c4,052$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.915952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c3,988$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9543943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over51c3,578$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.1513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over49c3,381$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.793246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.483145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c3,124$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.553,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Over49c3,007$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under52c2,867$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.928251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under63c2,856$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over47c2,742$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c2,577$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.921,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over50c2,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2601225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Over47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c2,420$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.0942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over35c2,400$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.92623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over50c2,180$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0901643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under52c2,005$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.1924147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over50c1,988$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over40c1,930$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.861450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e24…c746backed Over56c1,780$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over36c1,760$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.6460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under54c1,638$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.063762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c1,589$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.471,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked Over46c1,589$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.992948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over37c1,243$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.8812650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under47c1,221$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.132552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55211333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over50c1,188$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59920843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over29c1,161$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.082548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27dd…c66abacked Over49c1,074$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over50c986.08$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.0413668.4%93 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under54c977.78$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.783046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over28c938.49$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.994942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over49c918.37$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Over32c910.66$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c896.47$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.021,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over36c893.69$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.49330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.