World Politics · resolved market
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa062dea464f0e8fc3381176494198cf45574ec190eca77a40f49988320fa15f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,867,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,537,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,867,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,861 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x259c…7c55backed No | 2c | 112,937$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed No | 0c | 81,149$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 79c | 75,530$59,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,118.6 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Yes | 58c | 74,534$42,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,607.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 66,809$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.16 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…9f37backed No | 3c | 59,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…af36backed No | 1c | 59,932$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked No | 17c | 54,523$9,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,126.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 71c | 46,808$33,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,675.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed Yes | 63c | 40,798$25,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,293.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 32,266$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 15c | 30,668$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,168.22 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 66c | 30,087$19,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.85 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1223…d424backed Yes | 80c | 29,641$23,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 24c | 28,222$6,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,432.56 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 49c | 26,976$13,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,345.83 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…3344backed No | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 1c | 25,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0e…c51dbacked Yes | 76c | 24,493$18,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…7878backed Yes | 17c | 24,379$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,350.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…c924backed No | 1c | 22,786$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed No | 45c | 21,557$9,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.6 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…72b2backed Yes | 77c | 19,670$15,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 42c | 19,119$8,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,024.63 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 44c | 19,050$8,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,703.08 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked Yes | 4c | 18,885$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,147 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 16c | 18,484$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.01 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 17c | 18,393$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,311.7 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 13c | 18,018$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,670.8 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 17,946$11,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,506.91 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 33c | 17,760$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,814.21 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 49c | 17,406$8,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,841.18 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 22c | 17,054$3,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,307.88 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 79c | 17,006$13,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.85 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed No | 3c | 16,793$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 16,509$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.43 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 68c | 16,413$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.03 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 8c | 16,150$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,835.19 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a87…ce4abacked No | 1c | 15,977$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…9b6cbacked No | 1c | 15,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 53c | 15,165$7,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,176.05 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 18c | 14,946$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 47c | 14,351$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,801.84 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 21c | 13,066$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,376.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed No | 5c | 12,994$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…b4b8backed Yes | 24c | 12,850$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,816.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed Yes | 64c | 12,665$8,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 42c | 12,507$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,274.32 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed Yes | 74c | 12,499$9,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbf…3186backed No | 35c | 12,343$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b30…c0b6backed Yes | 7c | 12,323$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,516.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 2c | 11,698$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 43c | 11,667$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,664.61 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 6c | 11,261$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…0ec7backed No | 38c | 10,982$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…5beabacked Yes | 9c | 10,950$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,962.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 6c | 10,437$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,787.43 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 8c | 10,164$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,355.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…713ebacked No | 1c | 10,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 73c | 10,055$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.92 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…0b5cbacked Yes | 50c | 10,034$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,033.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…5ad3backed No | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 38c | 10,000$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,246.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…ea58backed No | 26c | 9,850$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…f38cbacked Yes | 55c | 9,845$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,406.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 41c | 9,825$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820.94 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…57f6backed Yes | 33c | 9,645$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,415.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…9cd8backed Yes | 7c | 9,257$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,601.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +370.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 47c | 9,242$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.86 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 8,806$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 4c | 8,650$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,297.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +446.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 77c | 8,600$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.78 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…dadabacked Yes | 64c | 8,499$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1d43backed Yes | 63c | 8,422$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 1c | 8,377$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…498cbacked No | 6c | 8,000$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…ab04backed Yes | 7c | 7,905$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,328.65 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…6d86backed No | 1c | 7,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a36…3aabbacked Yes | 18c | 7,587$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,225.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +98%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 68c | 7,485$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 7,214$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.47 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…3df0backed No | 3c | 7,177$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…ce4ebacked No | 1c | 7,160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 53c | 7,051$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.86 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…296ebacked No | 1c | 7,027$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ec6bbacked No | 4c | 6,770$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…89c0backed No | 4c | 6,753$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 69c | 6,734$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd821…e681backed No | 1c | 6,714$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…55a0backed Yes | 27c | 6,696$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 49c | 6,516$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.31 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 43c | 6,511$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.16 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 24c | 6,480$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 4c | 6,467$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 4c | 6,417$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 21c | 6,391$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.99 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…827fbacked Yes | 37c | 6,195$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 6c | 6,040$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.8 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…a3b1backed No | 1c | 6,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.