World Politics · resolved market
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd06b3fd416fa6bbb9cf2667ff62977754e49b6d7966077173d266a71a2f240
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,706,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,706,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7150…eaadbacked Yes | 0c | 72,920$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…d755backed Yes | 0c | 72,900$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…aa5bbacked Yes | 0c | 72,330$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…62fbbacked Yes | 0c | 72,250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545a…bb4fbacked Yes | 0c | 72,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e8…6f25backed Yes | 0c | 72,100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…c9babacked Yes | 0c | 72,030$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9c…dc2ebacked Yes | 0c | 71,950$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…dcecbacked Yes | 0c | 71,900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff39…6de6backed Yes | 0c | 71,870$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a60…9008backed Yes | 0c | 71,700$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…9933backed Yes | 0c | 71,430$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…7b17backed Yes | 0c | 71,340$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…a475backed Yes | 0c | 71,270$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2937…cd26backed Yes | 0c | 71,200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…ed5dbacked Yes | 0c | 71,080$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…cc90backed Yes | 0c | 70,790$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…6f8ebacked Yes | 0c | 70,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…9492backed Yes | 0c | 70,290$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…ece8backed Yes | 0c | 70,220$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd603…c2e6backed Yes | 0c | 69,820$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…148bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,560$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…eeb7backed Yes | 0c | 68,550$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d9…b139backed Yes | 0c | 67,710$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…f7d4backed Yes | 0c | 66,900$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 0c | 57,575$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea16…f233backed Yes | 0c | 48,360$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…b090backed Yes | 0c | 48,340$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…848cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…3989backed Yes | 0c | 48,070$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…f414backed Yes | 0c | 48,050$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…a311backed Yes | 0c | 48,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…6cf2backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…8d76backed Yes | 0c | 47,740$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…1b4ebacked Yes | 0c | 47,710$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…5f2ebacked Yes | 0c | 47,590$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fc6fbacked Yes | 0c | 47,560$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…7c52backed Yes | 0c | 47,450$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe6…d2e9backed Yes | 0c | 47,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3cddbacked Yes | 0c | 47,010$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1daf…461ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,970$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…2b2ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,950$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…6748backed Yes | 0c | 46,940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…ce2fbacked Yes | 0c | 46,850$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…fb4cbacked Yes | 0c | 46,770$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…e3e4backed Yes | 0c | 46,760$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…5ee3backed Yes | 0c | 46,680$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…8843backed Yes | 0c | 46,560$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…531bbacked Yes | 0c | 46,560$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…771ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,550$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…82d1backed Yes | 0c | 46,540$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…127fbacked Yes | 0c | 46,530$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…01fcbacked Yes | 0c | 46,510$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd57…11a9backed Yes | 0c | 46,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…a4bcbacked Yes | 0c | 46,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…4bdebacked Yes | 0c | 46,490$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…51aebacked Yes | 0c | 46,480$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e06…8679backed Yes | 0c | 46,410$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a7…8a85backed Yes | 0c | 46,400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…8a37backed Yes | 0c | 46,340$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…deadbacked Yes | 0c | 46,130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…f9a8backed Yes | 0c | 46,080$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…aa04backed Yes | 0c | 46,050$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…f61dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,030$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…e08ebacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…b8adbacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…8246backed Yes | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…3cfbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…5a49backed Yes | 0c | 45,940$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…e827backed Yes | 0c | 45,930$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…72c1backed Yes | 0c | 45,850$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…5a36backed Yes | 0c | 45,780$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…fb45backed Yes | 0c | 45,680$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…2168backed Yes | 0c | 45,680$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…ee55backed Yes | 0c | 45,680$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…ec62backed Yes | 0c | 45,670$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…7629backed Yes | 0c | 45,660$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…026abacked Yes | 0c | 45,630$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…1ddabacked Yes | 0c | 45,630$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…6a44backed Yes | 0c | 45,620$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…74c6backed Yes | 0c | 45,570$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3e6cbacked Yes | 0c | 45,500$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb92…bb82backed Yes | 0c | 45,490$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…462cbacked Yes | 0c | 45,430$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4503…e250backed Yes | 0c | 45,410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…6b2bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…e0d6backed Yes | 0c | 45,410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c73…527bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…ff79backed Yes | 0c | 45,280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…7955backed Yes | 0c | 45,130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…2280backed Yes | 0c | 45,110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…e176backed Yes | 0c | 45,070$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e8…dd98backed Yes | 0c | 44,990$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…0496backed Yes | 0c | 44,910$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048c…3d47backed Yes | 0c | 44,610$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…196fbacked Yes | 0c | 44,550$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…c2f8backed Yes | 0c | 44,540$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…53edbacked Yes | 0c | 44,440$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…a39cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…77aabacked Yes | 0c | 44,090$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.