World Politics · resolved market
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a550f4be5469a1f7f19a6a87eb1d3c5aee638dd4b325cd7e80c94fcb69a4325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,129,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,129,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a3…3131backed Yes | 0c | 67,780$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…900cbacked Yes | 0c | 67,778$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…e4c8backed Yes | 0c | 67,771$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…b13dbacked Yes | 0c | 67,771$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…1506backed Yes | 0c | 67,771$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…ca36backed Yes | 0c | 67,771$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 0c | 65,010$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9df4backed Yes | 0c | 56,656$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…14dcbacked Yes | 0c | 55,882$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…b4b6backed Yes | 0c | 55,881$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…bcc1backed Yes | 0c | 55,787$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…ea98backed Yes | 0c | 54,616$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…bbb4backed Yes | 0c | 54,091$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…d3a1backed Yes | 0c | 53,776$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…392cbacked Yes | 0c | 53,750$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a098backed Yes | 0c | 52,839$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…0eddbacked Yes | 0c | 52,753$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…9407backed Yes | 0c | 52,515$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…a2c1backed Yes | 0c | 52,416$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ed…d829backed Yes | 0c | 52,180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…aed0backed Yes | 0c | 52,155$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa011…955dbacked Yes | 0c | 52,030$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…d350backed Yes | 0c | 52,016$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,999$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…d9c1backed Yes | 0c | 51,722$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…1c26backed Yes | 0c | 51,582$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…63d3backed Yes | 0c | 51,510$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…aae0backed Yes | 0c | 51,361$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…3ad0backed Yes | 0c | 51,326$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…6070backed Yes | 0c | 51,125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…b741backed Yes | 0c | 51,119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd729…4070backed Yes | 0c | 51,006$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…79a2backed Yes | 0c | 50,987$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e02…bde3backed Yes | 0c | 50,900$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4a…05e1backed Yes | 0c | 50,853$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…87e9backed Yes | 0c | 50,781$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a52…0ba1backed Yes | 0c | 50,774$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…1755backed Yes | 0c | 50,768$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf013…08f4backed Yes | 0c | 50,766$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…e7a5backed Yes | 0c | 50,759$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c3…3954backed Yes | 0c | 50,742$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfd…de6bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,742$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…c17ebacked Yes | 0c | 50,742$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…390bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,742$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3e…fa63backed Yes | 0c | 50,540$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…2185backed Yes | 0c | 50,370$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…4cc3backed Yes | 0c | 50,267$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…f7bebacked Yes | 0c | 50,135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…8960backed Yes | 0c | 49,935$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…860bbacked Yes | 0c | 49,934$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…35bbbacked Yes | 0c | 49,750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39f…a6fbbacked Yes | 0c | 49,610$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…9bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 49,540$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5236…8333backed Yes | 0c | 48,696$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…35f6backed Yes | 0c | 48,222$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…ea3cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…77abbacked Yes | 0c | 47,171$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0a35backed Yes | 0c | 47,134$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…b570backed Yes | 0c | 47,030$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32c…de0fbacked Yes | 0c | 47,001$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5caabacked Yes | 0c | 46,989$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…132cbacked Yes | 0c | 46,924$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…3c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,726$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885c…41a2backed Yes | 0c | 46,675$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…7a61backed Yes | 0c | 46,657$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…f0b2backed Yes | 0c | 46,611$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…98cbbacked Yes | 0c | 46,561$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…c76fbacked Yes | 0c | 46,408$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…bb65backed Yes | 0c | 46,404$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0e15backed Yes | 0c | 46,358$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ded…4e25backed Yes | 0c | 46,209$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…e8f3backed Yes | 0c | 45,100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…9bb2backed Yes | 0c | 44,452$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…712cbacked Yes | 0c | 44,305$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…3bbdbacked Yes | 0c | 43,886$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…00edbacked Yes | 0c | 43,851$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…b952backed Yes | 0c | 43,723$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00bc…74abbacked Yes | 0c | 43,686$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf726…9c8cbacked Yes | 0c | 43,547$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…93a0backed Yes | 0c | 43,521$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…d0eebacked Yes | 0c | 43,303$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…33fbbacked Yes | 0c | 43,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…ef1abacked Yes | 0c | 43,244$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…d807backed Yes | 0c | 42,936$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…4a2fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,893$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…5dc6backed Yes | 0c | 42,858$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…5cebbacked Yes | 0c | 42,713$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…1595backed Yes | 0c | 42,329$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…c2e8backed Yes | 0c | 42,186$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…c639backed Yes | 0c | 42,178$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…3750backed Yes | 0c | 42,132$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…d0e2backed Yes | 0c | 41,968$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…ab39backed Yes | 0c | 41,923$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…1e96backed Yes | 0c | 41,887$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…7c89backed Yes | 0c | 41,791$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0baabacked Yes | 0c | 41,735$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…1d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 41,333$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…df85backed Yes | 0c | 41,228$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…4314backed Yes | 0c | 40,831$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…b93abacked Yes | 0c | 40,821$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.