World Politics · resolved market
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1a3232b14a029f96a3e1b04a5d8dde31575d74024389b53631e73b4a494480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,905,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,905,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29fc…6448backed Yes | 0c | 786,838$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…55e4backed Yes | 0c | 776,875$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…7180backed Yes | 0c | 776,780$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…ebbebacked Yes | 0c | 743,051$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…6647backed Yes | 0c | 707,206$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0296…eb80backed Yes | 0c | 705,852$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…b813backed Yes | 0c | 337,101$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…501abacked Yes | 0c | 321,778$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…b3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 306,455$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e5…9d3ebacked Yes | 0c | 306,452$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…24d3backed Yes | 0c | 291,132$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…8541backed Yes | 0c | 275,810$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…d896backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…2612backed Yes | 0c | 99,101$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…4627backed Yes | 0c | 66,332$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…ba0abacked Yes | 0c | 64,910$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 0c | 64,783$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec6…8803backed Yes | 0c | 61,727$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…ad98backed Yes | 0c | 61,209$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…90c0backed Yes | 0c | 59,676$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2989…2200backed Yes | 0c | 58,949$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…1412backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…345ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,786$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…41e6backed Yes | 0c | 54,651$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…00e7backed Yes | 0c | 53,917$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Yes | 0c | 53,630$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…a6d6backed Yes | 0c | 52,511$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…3d5fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,833$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…48eebacked Yes | 0c | 51,821$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…4680backed Yes | 0c | 51,782$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…d2f6backed Yes | 0c | 51,715$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…3fe4backed Yes | 0c | 51,544$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ed…5c74backed Yes | 0c | 51,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…5297backed Yes | 0c | 51,484$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…67fcbacked Yes | 0c | 51,318$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…af08backed Yes | 0c | 50,910$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0913…d6a7backed Yes | 0c | 50,817$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…80edbacked Yes | 0c | 50,783$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…3721backed Yes | 0c | 50,734$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…1c66backed Yes | 0c | 50,587$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…21b7backed Yes | 0c | 50,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8f…3e26backed Yes | 0c | 50,271$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5857…71b3backed Yes | 0c | 49,337$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…d5f4backed Yes | 0c | 48,358$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…ca06backed Yes | 0c | 46,642$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…9c24backed Yes | 0c | 46,506$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…2264backed Yes | 0c | 44,335$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1dd3backed Yes | 0c | 43,712$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…1e5bbacked Yes | 0c | 43,614$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…b1ecbacked Yes | 0c | 43,050$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…1974backed Yes | 0c | 43,049$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…f969backed Yes | 0c | 43,049$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…4c36backed Yes | 0c | 43,049$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,018$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b5…98e2backed Yes | 0c | 43,005$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…073fbacked Yes | 0c | 42,816$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…a488backed Yes | 0c | 42,612$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…4515backed Yes | 0c | 42,485$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…7184backed Yes | 0c | 42,453$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…70ecbacked Yes | 0c | 42,397$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…1d82backed Yes | 0c | 42,368$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…f4e0backed Yes | 0c | 42,345$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…b903backed Yes | 0c | 42,224$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…c71ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…d594backed Yes | 0c | 41,778$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…696cbacked Yes | 0c | 41,643$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…05b4backed Yes | 0c | 41,638$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…3629backed Yes | 0c | 41,625$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…3b5bbacked Yes | 0c | 41,615$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3ff4backed Yes | 0c | 41,577$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…0776backed Yes | 0c | 41,533$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…ed7dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,526$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae7…8eecbacked Yes | 0c | 41,304$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…dbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 41,183$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…dcd5backed Yes | 0c | 41,011$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…69f6backed Yes | 0c | 40,918$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…0804backed Yes | 0c | 40,645$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…99febacked Yes | 0c | 40,380$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…0fc0backed Yes | 0c | 40,375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…23e6backed Yes | 0c | 40,197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…0b74backed Yes | 0c | 40,117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…4d12backed Yes | 0c | 39,806$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d47…edf9backed Yes | 0c | 38,750$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eab…697dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,680$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…c951backed Yes | 0c | 38,434$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0837…e1dbbacked Yes | 0c | 38,141$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…c53ebacked Yes | 0c | 37,560$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08b…cdb3backed Yes | 0c | 37,255$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…c1a6backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…5cc2backed Yes | 0c | 34,713$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4308…a906backed Yes | 0c | 34,690$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…c905backed Yes | 0c | 34,203$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…1eb3backed Yes | 0c | 34,186$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…535cbacked Yes | 0c | 33,902$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…b0cabacked Yes | 0c | 33,430$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…6748backed Yes | 0c | 33,260$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…3f14backed Yes | 0c | 32,180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…d73ebacked Yes | 0c | 32,030$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…3683backed Yes | 0c | 31,150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…395ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,992$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.