World Politics · resolved market
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb33ad98c8141b10f2350ef687eddf0660484ecc15be42ecdae64339e64dce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,399,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,094,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,399,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,765 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c88…f4e2backed Yes | 1c | 752,305$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…024ebacked Yes | 2c | 476,060$10,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,860.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 5c | 400,075$21,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,035.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…2261backed Yes | 3c | 308,123$9,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,119.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed Yes | 2c | 242,553$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 237,682$9,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,936.9 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…9ff9backed Yes | 4c | 204,462$8,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…af36backed Yes | 1c | 198,952$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…eecfbacked Yes | 5c | 197,312$9,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,071.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 179,290$8,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,353.32 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 5c | 172,807$9,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,235.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…9f37backed Yes | 3c | 163,594$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,570 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 6c | 155,691$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 150,567$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,578.42 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…9c96backed Yes | 5c | 123,426$6,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,067.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e5…32aabacked Yes | 4c | 119,180$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…3c82backed Yes | 5c | 115,897$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…254abacked Yes | 5c | 111,166$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 5c | 110,541$6,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,060.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Yes | 1c | 109,061$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7,883.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…cb9dbacked Yes | 3c | 101,115$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…9292backed Yes | 3c | 99,675$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…b499backed Yes | 1c | 95,740$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 4c | 92,736$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…1469backed Yes | 6c | 92,358$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,702.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3841…cd5cbacked Yes | 5c | 86,366$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 0c | 82,486$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 1c | 82,257$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.83 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…221ebacked Yes | 1c | 81,868$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…b42ebacked Yes | 5c | 79,500$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…3770backed Yes | 5c | 78,144$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x552d…656fbacked Yes | 4c | 76,388$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 73,365$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.92 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 4c | 67,156$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.31 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb874…489abacked Yes | 1c | 66,128$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Yes | 6c | 66,117$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 64,491$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.72 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 5c | 63,648$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.57 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…bac6backed Yes | 4c | 60,455$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 5c | 60,000$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 3c | 58,004$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.79 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93a…d4c2backed Yes | 1c | 57,020$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…6c42backed Yes | 6c | 56,302$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Yes | 4c | 56,166$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…886ebacked Yes | 5c | 54,659$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…f6c3backed Yes | 4c | 54,584$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b30…c0b6backed Yes | 5c | 53,970$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…a818backed Yes | 1c | 50,563$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…e26abacked Yes | 7c | 49,478$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +363.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 48,697$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.12 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 5c | 46,505$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.98 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…9802backed Yes | 1c | 45,484$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 6c | 43,971$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…1ccebacked Yes | 6c | 41,546$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…fc41backed Yes | 6c | 41,110$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…9394backed Yes | 5c | 41,056$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…713ebacked Yes | 1c | 40,566$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ce54backed Yes | 5c | 39,830$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked Yes | 4c | 38,897$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…5967backed Yes | 8c | 38,882$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…c879backed Yes | 5c | 38,736$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…5198backed Yes | 1c | 38,481$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 38,405$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.4 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 35,857$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…3332backed Yes | 3c | 35,698$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…7c46backed Yes | 5c | 34,574$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedf…b69abacked Yes | 4c | 34,142$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…6d86backed Yes | 0c | 33,593$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…ba2fbacked Yes | 6c | 33,285$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1e89backed Yes | 6c | 32,829$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…44f4backed Yes | 5c | 32,819$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +737.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…3577backed Yes | 4c | 32,264$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…420bbacked Yes | 1c | 32,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…626dbacked Yes | 1c | 31,518$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…296ebacked Yes | 3c | 31,382$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Yes | 2c | 30,311$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…d876backed Yes | 2c | 30,129$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…79dfbacked Yes | 4c | 30,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 29,545$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.07 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…a6dbbacked Yes | 5c | 29,497$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf523…edb2backed Yes | 10c | 29,106$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…4b36backed Yes | 5c | 28,365$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 2c | 27,911$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 27,672$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.62 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…9b6cbacked Yes | 1c | 27,623$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…ade5backed Yes | 5c | 27,165$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…40c9backed Yes | 8c | 26,763$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…5e9abacked Yes | 2c | 26,462$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 26,174$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.01 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…6e8bbacked Yes | 4c | 26,061$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 1c | 24,622$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…758fbacked Yes | 5c | 24,326$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…46f1backed Yes | 2c | 24,200$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…0d46backed Yes | 4c | 23,672$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…134bbacked Yes | 6c | 23,152$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…ca13backed Yes | 5c | 23,128$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…544cbacked Yes | 3c | 23,115$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…5da2backed Yes | 1c | 23,106$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7f…3afbbacked Yes | 3c | 22,878$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?this page
- Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes won
- Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Pinto win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Orlando Cruz win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Tim Vieira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
- Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.