TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e39…ec6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.6%+$134.17
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.6%+$78.3
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$59.2
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$22.5
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$37.54
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Hailey Baptistebacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$35.33
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$16.17
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$33.4
Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$19.61
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.79
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Potapova vs Emma Raducanubacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Quentin Halysbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$11.44
Australian Open Women's: Tereza Valentova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.04
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$27.3
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.7%+$56
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paulbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+110.5%+$52.5
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Adelaide International: Diana Shnaider vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+53.2%+$54
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Adelaide International: Tereza Valentova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Adelaide International: Katerina Siniakova vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Sofia Keninbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+121.1%+$71.2
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32.9
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$107.49
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.5%+$75.59
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$62.1
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$42.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.71
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$76.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$283.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.