TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Quentin Halys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Medvedevof Medvedev, Halys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,440
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,440 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Halys38c35,687$13,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,445.1511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Halys24c14,890$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.792,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Halys39c13,820$5,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,381.042,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Medvedev61c12,667$7,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,002.356,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Halys12c9,937$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.416541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Medvedev63c6,937$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.6415665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Halys40c6,732$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.775444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Medvedev72c5,586$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.2148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Halys42c4,473$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.7776146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Halys11c3,971$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.82,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Halys1c3,933$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.282,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Halys9c3,286$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6811122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Medvedev78c3,109$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.8744163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Halys12c3,093$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.213537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Halys25c3,074$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.992,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Medvedev71c2,979$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.061,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Medvedev58c2,850$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.4793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Medvedev75c2,731$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.478446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…49d2backed Medvedev40c2,685$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Medvedev80c2,000$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.1820257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Medvedev80c1,999$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.85457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Medvedev58c1,733$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Medvedev39c1,540$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.385036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Halys22c1,540$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4419023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Medvedev69c1,518$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.063,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Halys11c1,400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Medvedev59c1,377$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.791,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Halys14c1,303$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Medvedev68c1,300$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.491,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Medvedev67c1,203$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.378964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Halys3c1,187$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.621,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Halys12c1,081$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7231332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Medvedev56c991.37$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.2813351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Medvedev57c987.82$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.7628451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Halys11c963.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9530131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Medvedev49c850$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.56833.8%23 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Halys43c843.48$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6713834.1%47 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Medvedev50c826.32$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4810247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Halys40c681.67$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.517041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Halys10c622.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Halys28c578.93$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.838,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked Halys23c554$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.422133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Medvedev65c549.68$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Halys46c543.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Medvedev58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.249955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Halys14c504.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.924010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Medvedev47c500$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26412740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Medvedev76c427.63$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6318663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Medvedev53c421$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Medvedev57c399.69$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.873464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Medvedev58c368.85$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1210562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…9b53backed Medvedev56c358.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.871478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Halys41c358.38$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.645944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Medvedev59c342.4$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.882,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Medvedev64c308.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.483953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Medvedev61c292.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0328139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Medvedev64c282.79$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9758359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Medvedev55c260.18$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…d4b0backed Halys13c233.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Medvedev57c220$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.616133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Medvedev58c208.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.382,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Medvedev70c204.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9310757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Halys41c203.79$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4814947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Medvedev66c202.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8929661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Medvedev58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Medvedev54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Halys34c197$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.244835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Medvedev56c186.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.792548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Medvedev69c166.7$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.462055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Halys30c158.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.653752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Halys44c155.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.754050%20 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Halys10c149.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Medvedev67c146.96$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.521,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc3…02e2backed Medvedev70c144.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.491060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…fed6backed Medvedev80c137.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591794.1%16 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.23per pick72cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Medvedev73c136.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6748242.5%205 W · 277 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Halys14c132.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5924846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b4afbacked Medvedev77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875367.9%36 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f8f…8ed0backed Halys31c129.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe61…4c28backed Halys8c126.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Medvedev57c122.22$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba7e…6839backed Halys13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Medvedev50c113$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4810827.8%30 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Halys11c110.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.216340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Medvedev54c110$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.527058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Medvedev58c108.26$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5632837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5470…accfbacked Medvedev78c102.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Halys32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Halys21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Medvedev39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6126247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Halys36c97.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.842231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Halys38c93.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.682,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Medvedev60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.055234.6%18 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Halys12c84.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Medvedev59c83.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7334159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Medvedev56c81.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.865928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf840…02e7backed Medvedev69c78.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571580%12 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Medvedev53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.255867.2%39 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Medvedev41c73.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.93948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Medvedev48c59.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4944423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.