TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8d8…1496

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.5
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osakabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.25
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Noskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.51
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$185
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Raducanu vs Solana Sierrabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$599.99
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$334.11
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Petra Marcinkobacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Katarina Zavatskabacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.94
Parry vs. Raducanu: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$101.46
Delray Beach Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex Michelsenbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$819.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.