TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,445,730
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,518,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,445,730 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 999 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…e82fbacked Yes52c4,077,405$2,129,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948,062.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No48c2,044,096$972,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972,026.9713353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No48c385,036$184,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184,817.233450%17 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed No48c206,901$100,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,0003540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes52c168,266$86,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,404.541942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No48c133,669$64,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,314.810455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No48c130,000$62,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,399.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No49c119,466$58,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,510.661650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No48c106,065$50,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,394.312,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c101,632$43,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,682.016,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No49c100,000$49,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,999.9324846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No48c96,000$46,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,079.997542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No47c94,340$44,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,339.615552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No48c94,229$45,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,229.927750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c70,701$34,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,067.262,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes52c54,170$28,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,157.63053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes52c53,390$27,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,756.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,00011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No48c48,003$23,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,041.355547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c45,534$22,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,130.011,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed No49c40,279$19,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,589.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No48c39,592$19,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,031.699141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c36,129$17,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,551.8618253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No48c33,440$16,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,151.26346%29 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No48c33,304$15,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,985.911376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No49c30,825$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0005352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No48c28,916$13,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,879.682642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No47c26,000$12,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,28035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No48c25,426$12,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,204.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28d7…89edbacked No47c25,000$11,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,750633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed No48c20,706$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed No50c20,054$9,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,977.381080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80031944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a6…ebddbacked Yes51c18,887$9,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,287.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No48c17,161$8,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,237.2116651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No48c16,358$7,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,851.655251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No49c16,271$8,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,020.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No36c16,000$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.7913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c15,170$7,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,325.7845249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes52c15,051$7,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,224.3716040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No49c14,011$6,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,866.0127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No49c12,923$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,302.245560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No13c12,715$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.3726319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes67c12,105$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.385635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No48c12,040$5,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,792.979350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No9c11,066$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.4975542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes56c10,773$6,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.7819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c10,700$5,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,350.6257847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9828…0f7ebacked No48c10,625$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.971942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed No43c10,505$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes51c10,158$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No49c10,100$4,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9492560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0004959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No48c10,000$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7603658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9009845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.982437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c9,876$4,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.8384549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked No49c8,979$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.354555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No27c8,926$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No37c8,830$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.72934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes52c8,654$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.855954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed No49c8,649$4,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No33c8,569$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.641346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No52c8,305$4,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,331.1340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed No48c8,204$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No48c8,150$3,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9123145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed No49c8,115$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8403050%15 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No48c7,720$3,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.67544%33 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes54c7,369$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.491947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6dd…50acbacked Yes51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No48c6,793$3,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.8326444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c6,780$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.244,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x311e…b7a9backed Yes54c6,629$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No48c6,432$3,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No48c6,400$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,07214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked No49c6,030$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe58b…d323backed Yes54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7601850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c5,989$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.731,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes51c5,706$2,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.944856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No48c5,689$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.753850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No52c5,620$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.348453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes50c5,472$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.014348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No47c5,329$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.5713832.6%45 W · 93 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No45c4,944$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.863745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No47c4,797$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.4110951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes54c4,784$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.634533.3%15 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes64c4,708$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.3581234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No49c4,656$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.445050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No48c4,244$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.122347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No47c4,157$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.899753.6%52 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No48c4,088$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.729949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed No32c4,062$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.