TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c19,692$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,224.151,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes26c19,231$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes3c11,910$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.11241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No73c7,772$5,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.332560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes24c7,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c7,500$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No73c7,500$5,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.983070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c5,487$4,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.952,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No75c5,000$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2755242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c2,616$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.631,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c2,323$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.7184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Yes28c1,955$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c1,897$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7315233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c1,670$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4256051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c1,540$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.7791435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No69c1,373$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.887129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c1,320$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes22c1,300$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c1,198$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.3369772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c1,193$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0814975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes9c1,140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c1,119$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.854,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No76c1,100$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9414654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes25c1,024$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26060445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c947.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.638233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes11c916.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes27c876.57$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3416753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No75c857.9$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2959332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No73c847.97$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.959254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c834.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2519239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c800$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No74c785.25$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.172560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes69c731$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.87162%44 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c691.17$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1874644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes26c676.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c663.92$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2610765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1c…49c1backed No76c583.79$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.111942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100240%0 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes20c511.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No76c498.67$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.686660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No32c468$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.242544%11 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No78c434.97$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.854463.6%28 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No79c433.12$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4322049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc575…8821backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes26c411.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6802…da5ebacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes23c400$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes4c383.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164139%16 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Yes27c375.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.560%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+124.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Yes27c363$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No27c358$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c348.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.922,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Yes27c345.52$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.292356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No73c319.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.47261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c319.15$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.521,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No27c310$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes6c304.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2828859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.78159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes75c294$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.858659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c285.85$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.181053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ff…ea2abacked Yes14c269.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c260.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4856241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes72c252$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.445856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Yes18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No71c242.21$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.898959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes25c225.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3959847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No76c225$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5417153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes26c222$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7217337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c218.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5211850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc74d…3a5ebacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes17c198.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.691553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes21c188.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016946.2%78 W · 91 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0446…39f7backed Yes18c185.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.951127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes11c184.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.156137.7%23 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No74c184.62$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.533751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes13c179$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes25c177.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.237427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Yes26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked Yes59c169.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes76c164.17$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.933050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c159.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304727.7%13 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes45c154.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5373458.6%430 W · 304 L+47.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c150.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6710…ab34backed Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x658d…757cbacked Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fa…16c5backed Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d3…3db7backed Yes26c146.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.