Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7ec76e6b4bd8aebc40d43e5a1c766b9816adf08d0ba429463bd345c5fca9b0

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Tottenham Hotspur FCof Liverpool FC, Tottenham Hotspur FC
Resolved: Dec 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $106,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,907 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbca1…dd13backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	78c	64,312$50,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,312.38	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liverpool FC	22c	33,908$7,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,459.65	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Liverpool FC	26c	14,750$3,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,788.69	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	72c	14,720$10,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,169.29	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liverpool FC	22c	14,146$3,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,112.2	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0883…f9cbbacked Liverpool FC	25c	3,998$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-66%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Liverpool FC	32c	3,459$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.88	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	76c	3,272$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.39	107	68.2%73 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Liverpool FC	22c	3,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Liverpool FC	22c	2,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Liverpool FC	26c	1,924$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.24	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	75c	1,678$1,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.5	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Liverpool FC	32c	1,549$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Liverpool FC	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Liverpool FC	25c	1,099$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.6	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Liverpool FC	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	70c	893.33$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Liverpool FC	32c	781.25$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Liverpool FC	24c	761.41$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.74	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	76c	707.33$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.76	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+10.2wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Liverpool FC	24c	700$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	77c	650.65$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.65	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liverpool FC	26c	558.89$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.16	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Liverpool FC	25c	401.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.37	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-7.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Liverpool FC	25c	372$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Liverpool FC	25c	360$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	76c	358.62$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.52	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Liverpool FC	23c	358$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.34	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	75c	267.1$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.1	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Liverpool FC	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Liverpool FC	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Liverpool FC	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	15c	200$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	54	3.7%2 W · 52 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Liverpool FC	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Liverpool FC	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Liverpool FC	25c	160.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Liverpool FC	25c	160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Liverpool FC	80c	160$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Liverpool FC	26c	153.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	77c	141.83$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.62	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Liverpool FC	54c	138.89$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	76c	135$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	77c	129.87$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.87	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	75c	123.99$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	74c	119.98$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	326	56.7%185 W · 141 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Liverpool FC	31c	112.17$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	191	28.8%55 W · 136 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd628…c85dbacked Liverpool FC	25c	102$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-4.8wins	-0.19per pick	45cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Liverpool FC	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.21	99	38.4%38 W · 61 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Liverpool FC	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Liverpool FC	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	248	44.4%110 W · 138 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e12…fe60backed Liverpool FC	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Liverpool FC	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-4.2wins	-0.22per pick	43cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Liverpool FC	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Liverpool FC	23c	53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Liverpool FC	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	65c	46.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	78c	45.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.24	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	79c	45.57$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.57	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ca…c807backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	65c	44.62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.62	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	73c	43.46$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea2…fe7ebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	80c	42.74$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	70c	40.19$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.06	577	44.4%256 W · 321 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9887…79a8backed Liverpool FC	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d35…8518backed Liverpool FC	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	74c	39.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	305	54.8%167 W · 138 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Liverpool FC	27c	37.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaee5…17dfbacked Liverpool FC	32c	35.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Liverpool FC	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	36cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d1e…327abacked Liverpool FC	39c	29.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	69c	28.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	77c	28.03$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.45	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Liverpool FC	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce5…8e89backed Liverpool FC	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…0bdfbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Liverpool FC	79c	19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	74c	18$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.68	296	57.8%171 W · 125 L	+16.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Tottenham Hotspur FC	79c	16.83$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.61	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Tottenham Hotspur FC	71c	16.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.82	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event