Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530c8d4f568ae64482d36338bd535c92196a46327ab2b71c94f5ffcdffdca612

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $112,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $139,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,368 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa800…bd7abacked Over	33c	12,331$4,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,017.81	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over	1c	12,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+76.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	26c	7,725$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.73	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under	77c	7,000$5,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,609.94	46	71.7%33 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	75cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	72c	4,958$3,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,404.32	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under	64c	3,916$2,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,421.32	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	73c	3,873$2,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029.17	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Under	71c	2,819$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.14	107	68.2%73 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	57c	2,360$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.74	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over	32c	2,200$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Over	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	32c	1,563$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	279	55.9%156 W · 123 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	31c	1,500$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…5c3dbacked Under	79c	1,271$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	28c	1,048$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.87	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under	70c	928.57$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.57	300	50.7%152 W · 148 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over	33c	919.1$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over	41c	731.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over	33c	700$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	69c	684.25$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.43	401	50.1%201 W · 200 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Under	70c	631.67$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.75	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	25c	626.44$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.71	515	42.5%219 W · 296 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	18c	617.83$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.21	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Under	65c	615.38$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.38	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over	24c	529.31$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.89	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	31c	500$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over	38c	407.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.04	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Over	33c	397.82$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.28	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over	32c	339.5$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.64	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under	79c	333$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.93	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under	79c	332.92$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.18	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44a…bcd8backed Over	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	68c	250$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	179	55.3%99 W · 80 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Under	70c	220.61$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.18	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	2%1 W · 48 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Over	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	54	3.7%2 W · 52 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over	32c	197.28$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e66…8cf9backed Over	32c	136.28$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over	28c	125$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over	20c	107$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	220	40.5%89 W · 131 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under	68c	105$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	31c	101.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Under	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	114	20.2%23 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Under	68c	96.87$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over	33c	91.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Under	77c	90.91$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Over	33c	72.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+7.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Over	23c	64.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	32c	54.11$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.09	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Under	69c	42.21$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.06	110	60.9%67 W · 43 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Over	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	26c	40.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	74c	33.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	318	49.1%156 W · 162 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae04…63cfbacked Over	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	155	58.1%90 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Under	77c	30.29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0f…37babacked Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa824…121bbacked Under	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…4e13backed Under	79c	18.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-6.5wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Under	77c	18.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.26	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	63c	17.74$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.64	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5this page
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Tottenham Hotspur FC won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event