TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Over55c45,201$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,200.788962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under46c27,000$12,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,419.976142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c25,800$11,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,383.782,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under46c19,978$9,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,189.6315049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over54c18,240$9,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,391.5821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over54c13,580$7,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,246.8812642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…54c3backed Under46c13,335$6,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,134250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c11,290$6,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,546.162,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c10,163$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,060.956,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Over55c7,999$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.473748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over54c6,267$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.863938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c6,230$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,787.011,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Under64c5,444$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over52c4,870$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.374748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under46c4,783$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over55c4,091$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.9119239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c3,964$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.651,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over54c3,800$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7486857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under3c3,700$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97492%1 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under45c3,688$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.6730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3612345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5304746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9513837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c2,790$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.584,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Over37c2,500$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70543.7%2 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under47c1,947$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.035754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under45c1,947$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8764052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8520054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Over54c1,835$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.023151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.183735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under48c1,573$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.75448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c1,500$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over51c1,499$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.522676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Under77c1,429$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002075%15 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over54c1,207$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.418243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15c3…17a7backed Over55c1,137$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3910…a66dbacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over54c859.55$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2240150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over54c806.26$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.8810956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over54c740$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.418646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over55c731.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.0419826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c660$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.571,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a7…8db6backed Under6c600$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36320%0 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over58c597.42$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Over55c563.64$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.641241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d1…be02backed Over55c552.67$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.457642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4510343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over54c496.3$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.317428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over44c454.58$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.057737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Over26c446.77$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6111534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over40c441.68$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3a3fbacked Under60c420$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Over53c400$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1873348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over45c394.47$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.81553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over54c371$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.665058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over64c312.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.978158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over50c308$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15419259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1477341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over57c299.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over57c290$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f5backed Over54c268.89$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.691435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over56c266.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.282240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over55c260$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under52c237.04$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…dd19backed Under67c215.61$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over55c209.09$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.094656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under48c208.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.125343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…6f25backed Over75c207.08$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c207$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9065557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over53c199.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9911443.9%50 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Over37c196$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4811923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ce…07adbacked Under40c192$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Over55c183.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.011752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over56c180.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.652259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over58c174.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.149958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under11c164.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Over53c156.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007463.5%47 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.