TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7712…0c28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,830
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$1,019.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$527.56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$1,030
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$2,019.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+229%+$7,656.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,771Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$5,729
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,139.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,695.52
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$3,040
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$640
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$2,829.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$1,276.28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$4,260
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$361
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$2,678.96
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$205
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$236
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$222.5
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$775
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$142.5
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$180
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$137.5
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$683.89
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$87.99
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+79%+$2,067.82
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.1%+$1,315.47
Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$53.94
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$170
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,804Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+55.3%+$1,551.09
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+45.5%+$297
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$262.49
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$331.5
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+263.6%+$725
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,925
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$4,200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,990.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$830
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,375
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.6
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.5
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$174.75
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+41.4%+$43.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$69.5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+308.2%+$75.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,857.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,749.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$669.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$750
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$2,989.13
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$52.18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$383.87
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$2,479.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-72.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.12
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$534.9
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$208.5
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.86
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,496.59
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$134.75
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$285
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$7.62
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$160
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$225
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$344.98
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+67.8%+$101
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$172.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick25cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$212.5
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+354.5%+$3,900
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+254.8%+$1,077.25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$126.5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.5%+$759.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-70.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$22.6
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$843.2
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$747
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.65
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$983.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$391
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$246
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$728.79
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,301Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$3,301
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+142.4%+$356.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,348.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,348.3%+$6,614.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58%+$144.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$245
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,108.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.