World Politics · resolved market
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc470b43a8bf0a938e9b17d1ff01b5c52b1cfbc5c352ce96dded8b4e5d5e40997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,348,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,710,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,348,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab3…02f8backed No | 5c | 100,005$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d285backed No | 13c | 96,000$12,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,532.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…e27ebacked No | 6c | 86,644$4,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…21b3backed No | 9c | 76,764$7,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,272.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe595…b451backed No | 15c | 65,656$10,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,142.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked No | 17c | 47,200$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,141.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…03bcbacked No | 10c | 46,670$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…1df6backed No | 7c | 39,024$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…9d7ebacked Yes | 79c | 39,012$30,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,209.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…8ebbbacked No | 6c | 36,082$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 34,829$6,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,841.11 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…d9e1backed No | 12c | 32,571$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…832bbacked No | 19c | 32,065$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…de9cbacked Yes | 78c | 31,769$24,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,991.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 27,400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…442fbacked No | 9c | 24,920$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 22c | 23,965$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.87 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…63f1backed No | 11c | 23,540$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…b4cdbacked No | 7c | 22,848$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed No | 11c | 22,825$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked No | 12c | 22,485$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…663abacked No | 10c | 21,473$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed No | 6c | 20,953$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…653bbacked No | 25c | 19,883$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…06e4backed No | 7c | 18,559$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 12c | 18,528$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…4df6backed No | 25c | 16,586$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…fd2bbacked No | 21c | 15,658$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked No | 12c | 15,490$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…b2aabacked No | 19c | 15,236$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…931abacked No | 14c | 14,705$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…32bebacked No | 14c | 14,508$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3bd0backed No | 10c | 14,274$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…60b5backed No | 15c | 13,551$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…8b61backed No | 17c | 13,320$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…7f09backed No | 15c | 13,157$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…1dabbacked Yes | 78c | 13,085$10,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…5c38backed No | 27c | 12,960$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…61c1backed No | 24c | 12,922$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed No | 8c | 12,734$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…b1f8backed No | 19c | 11,600$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked No | 9c | 11,600$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2ac5backed Yes | 75c | 11,538$8,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed No | 33c | 11,376$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 13c | 11,179$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.74 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 8c | 11,103$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…ec62backed No | 15c | 11,007$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 79c | 10,512$8,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.37 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 14c | 10,076$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.54 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 13c | 9,875$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efa…0d39backed Yes | 67c | 9,725$6,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…0ea8backed Yes | 78c | 9,667$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…c1c2backed No | 19c | 9,550$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…6408backed No | 33c | 9,282$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…b1e4backed No | 17c | 9,196$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…fc3bbacked No | 16c | 9,100$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…7263backed No | 7c | 8,999$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…26babacked No | 28c | 8,933$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…72bcbacked No | 17c | 8,299$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked No | 20c | 8,144$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56a…5724backed No | 21c | 8,059$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…37b9backed Yes | 74c | 7,889$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…2fc1backed No | 14c | 7,748$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…f3dbbacked No | 9c | 7,493$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 8c | 7,300$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.99 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…e587backed No | 12c | 7,163$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 7,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 16c | 6,893$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…6443backed No | 17c | 6,854$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…76eabacked Yes | 76c | 6,713$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked No | 19c | 6,703$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…fadbbacked No | 15c | 6,351$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…c2abbacked No | 12c | 5,511$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…0143backed No | 35c | 5,489$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…29b8backed No | 6c | 5,317$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…b912backed No | 10c | 5,220$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 75c | 5,185$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 14c | 5,109$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…03adbacked Yes | 72c | 5,093$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked No | 8c | 5,050$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…dfe8backed No | 20c | 5,026$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 12c | 4,709$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…de09backed Yes | 68c | 4,611$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…0697backed No | 8c | 4,579$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…b47cbacked No | 3c | 4,431$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…85cebacked No | 23c | 4,402$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed No | 14c | 4,342$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3213…3fe2backed No | 13c | 4,301$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed No | 14c | 4,186$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…9a8cbacked No | 3c | 4,100$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…d836backed No | 9c | 4,099$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…b079backed Yes | 73c | 4,020$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…9b84backed No | 14c | 4,003$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…59c4backed Yes | 68c | 3,979$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a85…223fbacked No | 29c | 3,932$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb33f…2fa5backed No | 24c | 3,822$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 3,820$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…0931backed No | 6c | 3,794$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 17c | 3,660$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.67 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 72c | 3,627$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.