World Politics · resolved market
Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c60fc9efc3c930c7ae842104102ca5aaec9bbf5bed326782dbe6cd82e8cf4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,285,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5238…26adbacked Yes | 0c | 219,491$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…5714backed Yes | 0c | 150,195$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 120,100$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 0c | 56,354$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…4028backed Yes | 0c | 55,123$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 32,722$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…636bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,492$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,860$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…76eabacked Yes | 0c | 21,403$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…0a28backed Yes | 1c | 18,993$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8357…de2dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,970$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…51b5backed Yes | 0c | 14,644$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…c220backed Yes | 0c | 14,294$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…4d64backed Yes | 0c | 12,820$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…9668backed Yes | 0c | 12,703$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…4df6backed Yes | 4c | 12,696$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 0c | 12,352$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…50d3backed Yes | 0c | 12,019$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…f165backed Yes | 0c | 10,746$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…879cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,585$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…2b53backed Yes | 1c | 10,529$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…5ff4backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed Yes | 0c | 10,338$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…543dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,600$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…bc4fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,313$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…a52abacked Yes | 0c | 8,570$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…c390backed Yes | 1c | 7,668$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…ba30backed Yes | 0c | 7,178$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…3a97backed Yes | 1c | 6,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 6,570$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…c1c2backed Yes | 0c | 5,914$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…951dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,410$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…c925backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…6f87backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…d06fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,075$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 3,769$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd39…05f8backed Yes | 0c | 3,596$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…5893backed Yes | 0c | 3,307$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 0c | 3,043$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,640$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…4f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.