World Politics · resolved market
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7749673e235a4bdcd4b5ad076fd0422cc1788564dbff37266dd006085ee78422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,697,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,954,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,697,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab3…02f8backed Yes | 3c | 778,845$24,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,726.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…904fbacked Yes | 9c | 35,243$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 3c | 32,010$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.8 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 69c | 28,787$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,787.07 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…e27ebacked Yes | 1c | 27,402$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 26,428$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.98 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 25,473$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 24,607$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.78 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 3c | 24,542$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…d12dbacked Yes | 5c | 22,138$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0559…c7d8backed Yes | 3c | 20,741$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c2…c2e7backed Yes | 5c | 20,395$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 18,879$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.69 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 7c | 18,609$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…2b53backed Yes | 14c | 17,547$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…832bbacked Yes | 41c | 17,345$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,039.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…cb84backed Yes | 7c | 14,046$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 5c | 13,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes | 4c | 12,574$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…c1c2backed Yes | 19c | 12,373$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…5c80backed Yes | 12c | 12,365$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa959…3d6abacked Yes | 8c | 12,234$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 12,187$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.07 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 3c | 11,097$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 4c | 10,981$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,665$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…1ec4backed Yes | 9c | 10,516$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262b…bb5cbacked Yes | 9c | 10,210$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked Yes | 4c | 10,119$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed No | 76c | 9,380$7,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2b…e46ebacked Yes | 5c | 9,266$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…0143backed Yes | 36c | 8,191$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…5332backed Yes | 25c | 7,755$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…7c5ebacked Yes | 7c | 7,751$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd16…79babacked Yes | 11c | 7,157$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…2b78backed Yes | 22c | 7,063$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…37edbacked Yes | 5c | 6,834$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…4028backed Yes | 3c | 6,542$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…0ea8backed No | 55c | 6,395$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,877.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf358…8d88backed Yes | 3c | 6,118$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…a820backed Yes | 3c | 5,947$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60e…aad3backed Yes | 5c | 5,854$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cc6bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,714$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…0a28backed Yes | 5c | 5,377$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…931abacked Yes | 15c | 5,072$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 4,944$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.25 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…19c8backed Yes | 20c | 4,902$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…9949backed Yes | 12c | 4,763$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3a…e51cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,351$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 4,341$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…c844backed Yes | 17c | 4,225$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…7263backed Yes | 14c | 4,191$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 7c | 4,174$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.76 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…7b9ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,106$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…a5cfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,017$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…e994backed Yes | 9c | 4,010$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1b…ee1abacked Yes | 2c | 3,892$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…2c91backed Yes | 2c | 3,812$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…54d9backed Yes | 3c | 3,765$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…a924backed Yes | 4c | 3,749$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…a55ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,725$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…8b61backed Yes | 18c | 3,711$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…af7ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,688$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…322fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,676$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…c2acbacked Yes | 3c | 3,651$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…2499backed Yes | 3c | 3,639$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…00aebacked Yes | 2c | 3,638$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…8ea5backed Yes | 2c | 3,589$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…35c7backed Yes | 2c | 3,534$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…4606backed Yes | 2c | 3,517$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…6ef5backed Yes | 29c | 3,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…d6ddbacked Yes | 15c | 3,429$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 3c | 3,424$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 3,424$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…ae18backed Yes | 2c | 3,355$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff3…a188backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…0931backed Yes | 8c | 3,269$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…ec62backed Yes | 8c | 3,267$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…c627backed Yes | 3c | 3,233$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…7315backed Yes | 20c | 3,222$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc731…00babacked Yes | 4c | 3,142$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cc…9816backed Yes | 4c | 3,135$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 6c | 3,100$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dac…89b0backed Yes | 4c | 3,098$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…6976backed Yes | 4c | 2,991$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39d…80f1backed Yes | 18c | 2,937$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…7973backed Yes | 10c | 2,866$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…d446backed Yes | 10c | 2,782$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…dfc2backed Yes | 3c | 2,747$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…3470backed Yes | 34c | 2,676$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…0520backed Yes | 3c | 2,635$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd728…0a95backed Yes | 3c | 2,620$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…bc4fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,619$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…8e24backed Yes | 4c | 2,609$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…06e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,571$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 70c | 2,503$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.97 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…160abacked Yes | 8c | 2,499$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…ac6cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,469$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…571dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,450$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.