World Politics · resolved market
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64d59dfefc260fb4e43dd8f8d1ae9fe0586cd0cae3e61a2c5b7e1877ce8aea98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,841,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,784,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,841,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfef9…d285backed Yes | 6c | 247,893$15,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,515.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb1…56acbacked Yes | 3c | 238,891$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ba…0931backed Yes | 3c | 98,987$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2346…c66bbacked Yes | 3c | 65,360$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 60,375$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.56 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…21b3backed Yes | 5c | 56,228$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…26cdbacked Yes | 1c | 43,318$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 41,131$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…06e4backed Yes | 3c | 35,708$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…a55ebacked Yes | 2c | 33,568$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 2c | 32,877$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 25,250$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…2b53backed Yes | 2c | 25,197$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 24,286$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 2c | 23,793$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…3169backed Yes | 3c | 23,757$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 22,020$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.61 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 3c | 20,730$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.09 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 20,574$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.91 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed Yes | 1c | 20,561$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…15dabacked Yes | 2c | 19,807$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 3c | 19,360$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 19,290$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.25 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…6689backed Yes | 4c | 18,904$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes | 3c | 18,748$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8998…32bebacked Yes | 2c | 18,610$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f78bbacked Yes | 1c | 16,700$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…4d64backed Yes | 0c | 15,347$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3bd0backed Yes | 4c | 14,960$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…b4cdbacked Yes | 8c | 14,742$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…3710backed Yes | 4c | 14,068$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…5f53backed Yes | 3c | 12,625$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…fc8fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,603$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…8375backed Yes | 7c | 11,360$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,335$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…29b8backed Yes | 3c | 10,242$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…6dd7backed Yes | 3c | 9,632$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…7688backed Yes | 1c | 9,283$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…608abacked Yes | 1c | 8,896$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…1ec4backed Yes | 1c | 8,505$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…0697backed Yes | 1c | 8,458$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…5d61backed Yes | 4c | 8,090$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…0cf5backed Yes | 4c | 7,980$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 4c | 7,516$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.43 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…2fc1backed Yes | 1c | 7,500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…b1e4backed Yes | 2c | 7,155$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…6a6fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…03bcbacked Yes | 6c | 6,559$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…1571backed Yes | 5c | 5,842$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…15a4backed Yes | 10c | 5,732$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67c…d619backed Yes | 4c | 5,630$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bec…1482backed Yes | 5c | 5,626$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…661fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,324$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…feb3backed Yes | 1c | 5,207$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…dc40backed Yes | 10c | 5,094$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…d446backed Yes | 2c | 4,993$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 2c | 4,790$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…f306backed Yes | 10c | 4,640$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…339fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,457$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 4,455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba21…06e2backed Yes | 5c | 4,380$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,338$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…e372backed Yes | 7c | 4,249$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 1c | 4,206$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…c1c2backed Yes | 3c | 4,170$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…9695backed Yes | 5c | 4,079$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…eca0backed Yes | 4c | 4,056$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…0520backed Yes | 5c | 3,824$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…6932backed Yes | 10c | 3,780$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,745$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c2…561cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,700$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…cbfdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,642$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…a8edbacked Yes | 3c | 3,503$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…fc3bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…b71abacked Yes | 5c | 3,441$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…d7c2backed Yes | 5c | 3,432$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…02e9backed Yes | 8c | 3,397$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…3eacbacked Yes | 10c | 3,371$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…6abebacked Yes | 5c | 3,317$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…e250backed Yes | 4c | 3,229$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,224$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…a129backed Yes | 10c | 3,038$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…d8d5backed Yes | 4c | 2,906$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa809…f7e9backed Yes | 6c | 2,895$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…9592backed Yes | 10c | 2,873$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 6c | 2,857$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…35d3backed Yes | 7c | 2,843$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd39…05f8backed Yes | 3c | 2,829$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…1f3dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,803$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 4c | 2,800$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…bea0backed Yes | 8c | 2,794$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…f17ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,785$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…5893backed Yes | 0c | 2,785$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…77eebacked Yes | 3c | 2,759$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…f500backed Yes | 10c | 2,724$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…7fefbacked Yes | 5c | 2,709$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…f041backed Yes | 7c | 2,688$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…65dcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,664$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…3097backed Yes | 5c | 2,658$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…a52abacked Yes | 1c | 2,615$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.