World Politics · resolved market
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6784f1b6fb992a2d7aae160f644006684f1b04a70a52d458f5560e48ded11ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,754,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,269,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,754,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f98…cce8backed Yes | 1c | 700,802$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 123,754$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.72 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 1c | 95,893$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 1c | 80,457$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.91 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…05fdbacked Yes | 1c | 69,519$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 62,706$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.75 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 0c | 62,383$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.42 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 0c | 61,879$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.91 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f78bbacked Yes | 1c | 57,506$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 1c | 50,844$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 49,652$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.47 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes | 0c | 41,811$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…60e0backed Yes | 0c | 41,630$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed Yes | 1c | 31,448$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…661fbacked Yes | 1c | 27,225$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 23,825$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…5911backed Yes | 1c | 23,193$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…2fc1backed Yes | 1c | 19,581$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…2b53backed Yes | 2c | 19,532$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 1c | 17,168$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…0a28backed Yes | 2c | 16,958$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…c1c2backed Yes | 1c | 16,498$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…4df6backed Yes | 2c | 15,204$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…636bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 14,989$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…26cdbacked Yes | 1c | 14,941$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 1c | 14,904$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes | 1c | 13,886$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…4974backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…9b84backed Yes | 1c | 11,463$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 11,298$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 41 | 0%0 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Yes | 2c | 10,824$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…ba1fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,808$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2346…c66bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,793$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 1c | 10,236$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…5d61backed Yes | 1c | 10,131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,555$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…d6f7backed Yes | 1c | 9,184$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…1ec4backed Yes | 2c | 8,727$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787e…00a3backed Yes | 0c | 7,051$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…b725backed Yes | 1c | 6,983$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…d221backed Yes | 1c | 6,751$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…7e75backed Yes | 0c | 6,545$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked Yes | 2c | 6,288$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 5,901$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…5714backed Yes | 0c | 5,583$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f8…15dabacked Yes | 0c | 5,050$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…f7febacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…6feabacked Yes | 1c | 4,988$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 1c | 4,904$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…06d2backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0f54backed Yes | 1c | 4,633$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…90cabacked Yes | 2c | 4,106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…4134backed Yes | 2c | 4,102$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…9c06backed Yes | 1c | 4,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631d…f7a2backed Yes | 1c | 3,999$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa73…85cebacked Yes | 1c | 3,921$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…c2acbacked Yes | 0c | 3,763$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…5829backed Yes | 1c | 3,755$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…bec2backed Yes | 1c | 3,685$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…60dbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,676$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,541$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Yes | 1c | 3,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…34fabacked Yes | 1c | 3,455$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…4d64backed Yes | 1c | 3,364$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…0541backed Yes | 1c | 3,293$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…0149backed Yes | 3c | 3,207$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e46…e925backed Yes | 3c | 3,190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,091$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…9b0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,944$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,939$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…06f6backed Yes | 1c | 2,836$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…d0b7backed Yes | 1c | 2,789$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…d8cebacked Yes | 12c | 2,755$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…9668backed Yes | 1c | 2,737$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…7688backed Yes | 2c | 2,708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…af7ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,685$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8bc8backed Yes | 1c | 2,685$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…a1abbacked Yes | 1c | 2,681$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…9386backed Yes | 1c | 2,680$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…d183backed Yes | 1c | 2,658$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…6f54backed Yes | 1c | 2,638$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac8…5b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,637$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…3321backed Yes | 1c | 2,578$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed Yes | 2c | 2,575$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…35ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,534$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…1a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,524$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e2…d962backed Yes | 3c | 2,510$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…08e3backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…7d64backed Yes | 1c | 2,448$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…1f16backed Yes | 1c | 2,448$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf94…a0a7backed Yes | 1c | 2,422$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…70fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,382$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…2a90backed Yes | 1c | 2,346$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…0438backed Yes | 1c | 2,325$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f1…a21abacked Yes | 1c | 2,176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…0143backed Yes | 2c | 2,173$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6da…19bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,142$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.