World Politics · resolved market
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0eb80283b16ab6d9f65d5cc2f169353ee25e00e990778f8ec3d7193f766d4ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,534,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,534,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x093f…9875backed Yes | 0c | 267,272$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…1ff6backed Yes | 0c | 265,538$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7d…2782backed Yes | 0c | 183,647$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…ec8fbacked Yes | 0c | 135,507$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…e19fbacked Yes | 0c | 120,117$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…406abacked Yes | 0c | 108,789$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72e…d1fcbacked Yes | 0c | 108,789$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 72,343$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.34 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…5714backed Yes | 0c | 50,797$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…4df6backed Yes | 0c | 43,782$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…51f3backed Yes | 0c | 42,601$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…3cf1backed Yes | 0c | 36,962$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…23bfbacked Yes | 0c | 33,890$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 0c | 30,949$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b8…1b30backed Yes | 1c | 28,400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 0c | 28,344$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…4f66backed Yes | 0c | 25,251$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bc…92d4backed Yes | 0c | 24,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…636bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,955$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 20,098$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67a…982abacked Yes | 0c | 16,714$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…c6cabacked Yes | 0c | 16,327$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…9519backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 0c | 14,564$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…650cbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…be88backed Yes | 0c | 12,877$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…608abacked Yes | 2c | 12,616$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8962…f0aebacked Yes | 0c | 12,117$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…d195backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…5377backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…1620backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…a275backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…2798backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…fda9backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…b18fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…79d1backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…6cb9backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…82d2backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3816…c8cbbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d667backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6408backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…db0abacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…def3backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1906…3722backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,431$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…2b09backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…9508backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…99f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…4f0ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…dc76backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 6,942$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…c844backed Yes | 3c | 6,374$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 5,202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…9ce7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…6a6fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…a90bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,212$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked Yes | 3c | 3,276$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,185$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44b…4496backed Yes | 2c | 2,856$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 2,642$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,678$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…fcc4backed Yes | 1c | 1,580$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 3c | 1,248$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…a436backed Yes | 2c | 1,106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…fc3bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…2e5ebacked Yes | 3c | 477.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…8981backed Yes | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 6c | 249.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…8513backed Yes | 5c | 221.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a3c9backed Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 14c | 96.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…422cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…b90dbacked No | 70c | 22.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?this page
- Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.