Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x766aa2fb8fafc6f063de001e1d441d0e64d84f164093feb087226b47ffc32af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 14c | 78,262$10,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,874.01 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 26c | 30,435$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.08 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 9,869$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.68 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 74c | 9,839$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.01 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…d98cbacked Yes | 74c | 8,491$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 21c | 8,200$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 20c | 7,841$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.24 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…f086backed No | 38c | 6,412$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 22c | 6,317$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.71 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 79c | 5,555$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.55 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…8ac5backed Yes | 76c | 5,295$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 78c | 5,017$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.04 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 21c | 4,773$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.72 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 20c | 4,487$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.33 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 19c | 3,335$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.64 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 20c | 3,304$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.82 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 23c | 2,925$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.05 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed No | 14c | 2,574$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.42 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,339$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.02 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 79c | 2,285$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 22c | 2,168$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.84 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked No | 18c | 2,114$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.2 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 20c | 2,085$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.07 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 25c | 2,014$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.34 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 26c | 2,011$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.86 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,945$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.92 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…9cf4backed Yes | 80c | 1,913$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 21c | 1,882$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.01 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,537$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.99 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 20c | 1,515$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…d900backed Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 19c | 1,493$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,415$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.82 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 79c | 1,408$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…9480backed Yes | 80c | 1,400$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…57a1backed Yes | 79c | 1,387$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,326$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.67 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 21c | 1,296$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.7 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Yes | 80c | 1,252$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.58 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 74c | 1,231$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.18 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 46c | 1,220$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.08 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…f31fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,172$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…8f97backed No | 15c | 1,038$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 79c | 1,030$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 79c | 999.92$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 976.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…944dbacked Yes | 32c | 959.2$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 951$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.62 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Yes | 74c | 945.95$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.95 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 78c | 923.8$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 79c | 909$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 73c | 900$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 12c | 900$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…a5f5backed No | 28c | 900$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 16c | 853.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.54 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…4b29backed Yes | 80c | 824.97$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 32c | 817$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 35c | 808$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…8f57backed Yes | 76c | 806.1$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 799.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 799.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…4a2dbacked Yes | 76c | 798.84$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 16c | 767$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 766.33$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 76c | 765.59$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Yes | 79c | 751.13$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 17c | 744.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 20c | 704.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 19c | 686.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…8203backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes | 79c | 666$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 79c | 655.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 654.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…4090backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…9450backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…63f4backed Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 80c | 628.93$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…5e51backed No | 20c | 585.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 68c | 557.24$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…19fcbacked Yes | 75c | 541$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 538.13$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 72c | 530.94$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8919…d64ebacked No | 28c | 527.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 79c | 514.94$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 79c | 499.92$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 76c | 491.63$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 18c | 476.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…7761backed No | 20c | 471.06$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…1a88backed No | 38c | 461.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked Yes | 61c | 454.68$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.33 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 79c | 446.2$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.