TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2ee…9bdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Cricket, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22,148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$6,268.09
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$10,991.54
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,738.51
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.5
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.21
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$7,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$2,567.24
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.51
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.07
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$302.95
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,422.56
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.57
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$135.64
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.05
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.28
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$161.73
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$499.35
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.99
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.67
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+27%+$326.21
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.37
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.6
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,141.25
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.77
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,675.4
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$1,609.76
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,295.84
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.04
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.24
Will Belinda Bencic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$2,648.02
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.64
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.77
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,512.49
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.2
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$4,782.09
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.35
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,945.62
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15,302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$12,149.46
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15,566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$6,171.19
Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.27
Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,454.45
Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.42
All 23 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,724.62
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,410.84
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.3
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+145.5%+$1,804.54
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297.23
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.43
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35%+$322.03
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.75
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,829.26
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29,279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$7,407.17
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.82
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34,525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$8,865.78
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,466.36
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,338.22
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.2
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.04
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.35
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.16
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,474.26
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$6,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,709.5
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$6,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,135.11
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.45
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,577.1
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.67
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$410.4
Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$3,841.82
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,265.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,950.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.