TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$619,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes0c11,971$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.591478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c9,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes2c8,766$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1714315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes6c6,601$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.1570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…755dbacked Yes9c5,644$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes1c4,795$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…9a16backed Yes11c4,091$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa22c…f08dbacked Yes6c3,774$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b8e…947bbacked Yes5c3,718$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0477…a92dbacked Yes6c3,686$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29d…6601backed Yes8c3,657$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d7…845fbacked Yes9c3,378$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fda…c88ebacked Yes5c3,361$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ffa…9713backed Yes9c3,281$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcaf…d6a7backed Yes5c3,278$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d2…2147backed Yes5c3,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa8…bbd6backed Yes9c3,125$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd47e…ef51backed Yes4c3,024$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc4…127bbacked Yes8c2,978$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36a…91a4backed Yes5c2,937$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…2b39backed Yes9c2,871$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x382b…7769backed Yes9c2,836$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fe…a98bbacked Yes7c2,817$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b3…1cd6backed Yes5c2,801$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4f…038ebacked Yes9c2,779$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e29…48e4backed Yes9c2,760$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c2,735$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.077416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbae…405fbacked Yes9c2,719$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3531…8e81backed Yes5c2,637$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3983…13a0backed Yes6c2,577$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…c20cbacked Yes6c2,504$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a6…a630backed Yes5c2,455$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x179c…6c4ebacked Yes9c2,064$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5b…717abacked Yes9c2,053$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…32e3backed Yes9c2,005$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d38…4b8fbacked Yes4c1,973$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ac…78ecbacked Yes6c1,928$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbea7…1a03backed Yes9c1,901$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505b…a04dbacked Yes13c1,890$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd768…e705backed Yes10c1,776$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes6c1,712$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x265c…7e6bbacked Yes9c1,711$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7c…24c1backed Yes2c1,682$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d51…0befbacked Yes4c1,654$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a6…5485backed Yes2c1,649$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…1549backed Yes10c1,631$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a8…1c13backed Yes8c1,630$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd671…9facbacked Yes5c1,626$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169c…6aa9backed Yes10c1,615$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b02…8a7fbacked Yes2c1,600$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…cb2cbacked Yes4c1,587$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2417…c8cdbacked Yes5c1,579$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09c…5a61backed Yes10c1,579$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b99…fe54backed Yes10c1,574$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7969…c31cbacked Yes5c1,560$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862c…ace6backed Yes5c1,521$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed1…4df7backed Yes5c1,505$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc7…7d84backed Yes5c1,464$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713a…4594backed Yes6c1,454$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8848…b014backed Yes6c1,439$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x808f…6efbbacked Yes5c1,415$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec48…c1ddbacked Yes8c1,408$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6976…eef3backed Yes9c1,397$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c9…05d5backed Yes5c1,338$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80f…f6e3backed Yes6c1,331$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4d7…9fcfbacked Yes5c1,311$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c53…8c30backed Yes6c1,310$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes3c1,300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.621315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b9…ffa5backed Yes5c1,279$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589d…99a4backed Yes7c1,271$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c1,259$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.45583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015e…3b6cbacked Yes6c1,255$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fc…a73ebacked Yes9c1,251$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1df…a9f4backed Yes6c1,250$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0bc…1e74backed Yes9c1,247$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e2…c5d4backed Yes9c1,224$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5273…44b1backed Yes9c1,216$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddb…14c2backed Yes5c1,204$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b6…3c5abacked Yes10c1,183$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5722…1658backed Yes11c1,181$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce6…71c9backed Yes5c1,174$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…1b42backed Yes9c1,173$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3b…5b83backed Yes6c1,165$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes4c1,152$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6f…1df9backed Yes5c1,132$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b21…9a69backed Yes9c1,130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3115…043ebacked Yes9c1,112$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0516…76e8backed Yes6c1,108$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7df…c3edbacked Yes10c1,086$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539e…70aebacked Yes5c1,085$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd4c…83efbacked Yes5c1,076$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e92…7558backed Yes9c1,069$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d4…2771backed Yes8c1,057$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes5c1,056$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.051811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-72.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…2971backed Yes9c1,037$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd083…ea42backed Yes4c1,033$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13a…0642backed Yes11c1,021$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd7…9551backed Yes5c1,020$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c11…69f0backed Yes6c1,020$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e08…639ebacked Yes4c1,009$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.