TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$182,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c21,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6979…c2a3backed Yes10c18,247$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,426.731050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+356.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes3c8,515$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,280.251478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes15c6,923$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,902.156144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fa…32d2backed Yes1c6,553$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,457.831100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+6,809.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf78…a054backed Yes1c6,084$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.09475%3 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.65per pick10cpaid+3,813.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No61c4,836$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.912166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+128.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes62c4,794$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.886943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes0c4,574$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,557.3214315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c3,825$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.057416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…678ebacked Yes1c3,402$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,371.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1,797.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes1c3,200$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.21462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes2c3,055$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.945030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked Yes3c2,562$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.491233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+813.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes31c2,239$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes15c2,002$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.083013.3%4 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes2c2,000$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9523928.2%11 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+345.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes6c1,952$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.379335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2824…a954backed Yes11c1,949$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+160.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c1,585$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.22407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes20c1,532$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.651947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes2c1,380$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.025343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+75.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes25c1,371$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.933138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No67c1,348$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.242347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes2c1,250$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2301827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+290.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b6…0dd1backed Yes5c1,244$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick10cpaid+1,501.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c1,218$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.01583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+202.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed5…a7ddbacked Yes9c1,202$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,744.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes1c1,132$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.826926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes8c1,115$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.281533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Yes25c1,050$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c8…6de4backed Yes10c1,037$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+534.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c923.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.76695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes2c770.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.653560%21 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+213.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes2c699.97$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.4715119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes6c672.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.525349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No73c672.19$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.85930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes2c666.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.934924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes9c626.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.224100%4 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+675.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc123…ebffbacked Yes33c613.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes2c600$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.41838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+213.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed No3c592$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…6621backed Yes4c566.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.55560%3 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.55per pick5cpaid+1,051.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ff3…13e9backed Yes18c559.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+288.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes9c534.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.63327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed No73c527.84$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.241612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-79.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa757…d062backed Yes5c500$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+251.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Yes8c489.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick15cpaid+752.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes8c410.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.642634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f80…2804backed Yes3c386$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.412917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…0edcbacked Yes33c333.35$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x810f…aa88backed Yes32c308.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.522927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…6ee3backed Yes9c277.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.122751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes19c263.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c6…de64backed Yes8c262.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.31837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+117.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed No72c259.81$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1616…896cbacked Yes8c255.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+2,449.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes8c250$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+230.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…9582backed Yes8c249.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.491323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab5…4013backed Yes33c241.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+206.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf792…f4bbbacked Yes33c230.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+206.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0b…5334backed Yes18c168.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+274.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes10c130$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.388342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c129.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.910529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba2e…f687backed Yes32c125$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked No32c112.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes38c72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked Yes19c69.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.593145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa277…ea05backed Yes30c66.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.381816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick8cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No76c65.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.083256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked No68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe0b…7efdbacked Yes33c45.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes33c45.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…8235backed No70c43.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3b…8b6fbacked Yes33c33.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1523…9117backed No70c31.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe8…6d0abacked No54c27.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No68c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.315572.7%40 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.