Music · resolved market

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b15d243a2adc2c7c63cfe9f92de8a079a38a8035a1638b3151d19d53b3ed2a

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,664 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	11,675$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.57	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes	9c	11,447$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.77	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes	17c	3,854$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.26	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	32cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes	14c	3,854$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.62	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b4…592fbacked Yes	15c	3,755$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.97	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	21c	3,745$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.6	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes	13c	3,180$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.72	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	4c	3,002$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.28	30	40%12 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+110.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes	28c	3,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.84	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4305…fe4cbacked Yes	16c	2,878$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes	21c	2,670$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.56	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	2,100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	65	1.5%1 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No	79c	1,960$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.4	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes	14c	1,914$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	33cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	16c	1,870$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.94	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+231.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	15c	1,810$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.7	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…c5d0backed Yes	13c	1,649$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+92.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes	13c	1,600$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.89	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e6b…a799backed Yes	21c	1,500$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.15	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	9c	1,500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.20per pick	28cpaid	-88.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	15c	1,496$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.32	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+96.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes	15c	1,446$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc865…23a7backed Yes	13c	1,443$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	15c	1,367$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.38	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	28c	1,330$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.5	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes	23c	1,316$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.66	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	21c	1,281$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.03	148	35.8%53 W · 95 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes	13c	1,167$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	3c	1,057$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	147	8.2%12 W · 135 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes	17c	1,005$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.91	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+345.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Yes	21c	999.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb5…e36ebacked Yes	11c	879.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes	5c	849.65$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf84f…5c5cbacked Yes	8c	829.2$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed No	70c	730.1$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.84	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ad8…cd62backed No	79c	702.24$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.25	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	16c	700$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes	30c	700$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.65	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066a…550dbacked No	78c	691.42$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.11	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed Yes	20c	673.01$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.06	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes	23c	665.98$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes	21c	660.6$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.88	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	9c	650.15$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.51	163	34.4%56 W · 107 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf809…2b87backed Yes	22c	636.36$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7c…8356backed Yes	12c	558.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.98	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	16c	550.21$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	+345.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	15c	549.53$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.91	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	3c	539.52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fab…0151backed Yes	4c	535.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc691…389cbacked No	66c	454$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.28	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes	13c	427.31$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.55	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	407.81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.49	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	12c	404.56$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	81	22.2%18 W · 63 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+75%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes	10c	398.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc271…9ef5backed Yes	27c	394.32$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	30cpaid	+126.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed Yes	20c	370$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	5c	369.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes	12c	351.82$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.35	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+136.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4631…02ecbacked Yes	4c	322.8$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08e7…193dbacked No	77c	320$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…2036backed Yes	19c	306$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+111.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ec…4612backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes	16c	252$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91a5…4679backed Yes	21c	240.65$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.54	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac1…8b5bbacked Yes	18c	231.9$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.19	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…9582backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8266…c472backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ef…3040backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked Yes	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c7…b70bbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes	9c	199.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	+86.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	11c	196$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	21c	182.22$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	162	50.6%82 W · 80 L	+11.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	74c	170.08$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.07	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b15…96d4backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes	16c	148.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.54	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+323%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes	15c	148$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a1…564dbacked Yes	18c	142.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	13c	127.38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	128	35.9%46 W · 82 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6486…0783backed Yes	8c	126$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46ef…a342backed Yes	25c	124.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fa…4ba6backed Yes	8c	123.65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+142.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	25c	119$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e7…fd3ebacked Yes	22c	115.41$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ca…ebd1backed Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e3…17e1backed Yes	20c	101.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff48…e373backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	107	4.7%5 W · 102 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50f4…5e6abacked No	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+230.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd8…0d38backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-4.0wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c3c…4169backed Yes	27c	96.96$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event